Morgan Stanley

193.64

Latest close: 2026-09-28 · USD

Trading Opportunity—Unavailable

Investment Opportunity43.0moderate

Company Quality63.3moderate

Valuation30.4low

Momentum24.4low

Timing—Unavailable

Risk38.7low

Market Compatibility—Unavailable

Confidence50.5/100

What could change the thesis

Next earnings on 10/14/2026 (date confirmed by the provider), in 15 days. Details
News of 09/27/2026 (M&A): “Morgan Stanley Lagged Its Peers After UBS Merger Talk and a Target Cut. Here’s What the Stock Already Prices In”. Details
Analyst estimates are rising (revisions 71). Details
P/E 19.0 above its own historical median of 14.1 (9 years). Details
Market regime: Neutral; stock compatibility —. Details

Dated facts already in the analysis, not forecasts. Each item links to the section that explains it. · thesis-watch-v1

Why these scores

Confidence measures data/model reliability, not probability of profit. 0 = relatively low risk · 100 = very high risk

Compared with companies observed by Krazerr, not the entire sector. (43)

Peer companies (43)

Company Quality · 63.3

Coverage: 84.6% · company-quality-v1.5

Why this score	Score	Δ
Business efficiency	—	—
Cash flow	—	—
Earnings quality	21.9	4.0
Financial strength	—	—
Growth	84.0	30.6
Profitability	63.3	28.8

Confidence · 50.5

Coverage: 80.0% · confidence-v1.2

Why this score	Score	Δ
Completeness	64.6	16.1
Cross source agreement	30.0	4.5
Event certainty	100.0	5.0
Financial discrepancy	100.0	0.0
Freshness	67.3	10.1
Model agreement	—	—
Source reliability	73.8	14.8
Stability	—	—

Investment Opportunity · 43.0

Coverage: 70.0% · investment-opportunity-v1

Why this score	Score	Δ
Company quality	63.3	31.7
Momentum	24.4	3.5
Risk adjustment	—	-3.0
Valuation	30.4	10.9

Market Compatibility · —

Coverage: 0.0% · market-compatibility-v2.2

Why this score	Score	Δ
Breadth	—	—
Liquidity	—	—
Rates	—	—
Sector strength	—	—
Trend	—	—
Volatility	—	—

Not computed: data available for 0.0% of the weights, below the 60.0% threshold. A missing value is not zero.

Exposures unavailable: at least 120 aligned sessions of prices, S&P 500 and the Treasury curve are needed.

Sector strength unavailable: no reference ETF for the sector or stale ETF prices.

Momentum · 24.4

Coverage: 72.2% · momentum-v1.1

Why this score	Score	Δ
Highs	58.4	9.0
Multi timeframe	36.9	11.4
Relative strength	—	—
Trend	0.0	0.0
Volume	17.6	4.1

Risk · 38.7

Coverage: 88.2% · risk-v1.3

Why this score	Score	Δ
Drawdown	48.7	9.7
Event	31.7	6.3
Financial	—	—
Liquidity	0.0	0.0
Rate sensitivity	—	—
Valuation	69.6	13.9
Volatility	32.6	8.7

Timing · —

Coverage: 42.5% · timing-v1.1

Why this score	Score	Δ
Entry position	100.0	—
Risk reward	—	—
Short term	35.6	—
Structure	—	—
Volume confirmation	23.5	—

Not computed: data available for 42.5% of the weights, below the 60.0% threshold. A missing value is not zero.

Timing unavailable: this stock is not among the screener setups, so the plan's technical structure, entry, target and invalidation are missing. Extension, RSI and volume alone are not enough (coverage below 60%). A plan rebuilt from prices would always enter at the latest close: we do not invent one.

Trading Opportunity · —

Coverage: 50.0% · trading-opportunity-v1

Why this score	Score	Δ

Not computed: data available for 50.0% of the weights, below the 60.0% threshold. A missing value is not zero.

Trading Opportunity requires Momentum and Timing: without a screener setup Timing is missing, so it is not computed. Investment Opportunity remains available.

Valuation · 30.4

Coverage: 100.0% · valuation-v1.4

Why this score	Score	Δ
Absolute	—	—
Cash flow	—	—
Growth adjusted	49.6	17.3
Historical	13.2	2.8
Peers	23.6	10.3

Financial statements and earnings quality

Annual metrics prioritize SEC statements when periods, currency and definitions are consistent. Where official coverage is missing, the fallback source is shown. Ambiguous data is excluded; current metrics remain separate.

Metric	Value	Source	Fiscal periods used
Free cash flow growth	—	— · Not calculable	—
Interest coverage (×)	—	— · Not calculable	—
Asset turnover (×)	0.05	Yahoo	2025-12-31, 2024-12-31
Earnings stability	0.80	SEC	2025-12-31, 2024-12-31, 2023-12-31
Operating margin stability	—	— · Not calculable	—

Stability ranges from 0 to 1: higher means lower variability over three observed positive fiscal years. It is not a probability of profit. Missing metrics remain unavailable.

Annual fallback provider values

yfinance · USD
First acquired: 2026-09-23T15:25:37.609884Z

Fiscal year end	Revenue	Net income	Operating cash flow	Capital expenditure (signed flow)	Total assets
2025-12-31	65,966,000,000	16,861,000,000	-17,889,000,000	-2,898,000,000	1,420,270,000,000
2024-12-31	57,621,000,000	13,390,000,000	1,362,000,000	-3,462,000,000	1,215,071,000,000
2023-12-31	50,667,000,000	9,087,000,000	-33,536,000,000	-3,412,000,000	1,193,693,000,000
2022-12-31	50,210,000,000	11,029,000,000	-6,397,000,000	-3,078,000,000	1,180,231,000,000

Sources and selection reasons

Asset turnover (×): SEC item missing; the calculation uses the fallback source entirely where available.
Earnings stability: Calculated from SEC statements with consistent periods, currency and definitions.
Free cash flow growth: SEC definition not yet mapped; the fallback provider is used where available.
Interest coverage (×): SEC definition not yet mapped; the fallback provider is used where available.
Operating margin stability: SEC item missing; the calculation uses the fallback source entirely where available.

Show advanced data

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Consistency across sources

Fiscal year end: 2025-12-31 · 3/3 compared values match

This is a numerical check of five items in the latest fiscal year, not independent accounting verification: Yahoo may derive from the same SEC filings. The positive Confidence contribution is limited; discrepancies apply a separate, visible reduction.

Confidence reduction for discrepancies: 0.0% · Δ 0.00

Show advanced data

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Check against official statements

Numerical SEC–Yahoo comparison by fiscal year and currency. Matching numbers do not certify identical accounting definitions. Metric sources and the effect on reliability are shown above.

Matching values across compared fiscal years: 8 · Differences to review: 0 · Non-comparable or missing values: 13

First acquired: 2026-09-24T18:42:01.461534Z

Fiscal year end 2025-12-31

10-K · Filed on 2026-02-19

Read the document ↗

Metric	SEC	Yahoo	Comparison result
Revenue	—	65,966,000,000 USD	Official value missing
Operating income	—	—	Official value missing
Net income	16,861,000,000 USD	16,861,000,000 USD	Matches within tolerance
Operating cash flow	-17,889,000,000 USD	-17,889,000,000 USD	Matches within tolerance
Total assets	1,420,270,000,000 USD	1,420,270,000,000 USD	Matches within tolerance
Payments for property, plant and equipment	—	—	Official value missing
Payments for software development	—	—	Official value missing

Value provenance and definitions

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}

Fiscal year end 2024-12-31

10-K · Filed on 2026-02-19

Read the document ↗

Metric	SEC	Yahoo	Comparison result
Revenue	—	57,621,000,000 USD	Official value missing
Operating income	—	—	Official value missing
Net income	13,390,000,000 USD	13,390,000,000 USD	Matches within tolerance
Operating cash flow	1,362,000,000 USD	1,362,000,000 USD	Matches within tolerance
Total assets	1,215,071,000,000 USD	1,215,071,000,000 USD	Matches within tolerance
Payments for property, plant and equipment	—	—	Official value missing
Payments for software development	—	—	Official value missing

Value provenance and definitions

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            "concept": "Assets",
            "end": "2024-12-31",
            "label": "Assets",
            "raw_fact": {
              "accn": "0000895421-26-000086",
              "end": "2024-12-31",
              "filed": "2026-02-19",
              "form": "10-K",
              "fp": "FY",
              "frame": "CY2024Q4I",
              "fy": 2025,
              "val": 1215071000000
            },
            "start": null,
            "taxonomy": "us-gaap",
            "unit": "USD",
            "value": 1215071000000.0
          }
        ],
        "period_start": null,
        "status": "reported",
        "value": 1215071000000.0,
        "field": "total_assets",
        "comparison": "numerical_match",
        "yahoo_value": 1215071000000.0,
        "yahoo_currency": "USD",
        "delta": 0.0,
        "tolerance": 6075355000.0
      },
      {
        "currency": null,
        "evidence": [],
        "period_start": null,
        "status": "missing",
        "value": null,
        "field": "ppe_payments",
        "comparison": "missing",
        "yahoo_value": null,
        "yahoo_currency": "USD",
        "delta": null,
        "tolerance": null
      },
      {
        "currency": null,
        "evidence": [],
        "period_start": null,
        "status": "missing",
        "value": null,
        "field": "software_payments",
        "comparison": "missing",
        "yahoo_value": null,
        "yahoo_currency": "USD",
        "delta": null,
        "tolerance": null
      }
    ],
    "period_end": "2024-12-31",
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/895421/000089542126000086/0000895421-26-000086-index.html"
  }
}

Fiscal year end 2023-12-31

10-K · Filed on 2026-02-19

Read the document ↗

Metric	SEC	Yahoo	Comparison result
Revenue	—	50,667,000,000 USD	Official value missing
Operating income	—	—	Official value missing
Net income	9,087,000,000 USD	9,087,000,000 USD	Matches within tolerance
Operating cash flow	-33,536,000,000 USD	-33,536,000,000 USD	Matches within tolerance
Total assets	—	1,193,693,000,000 USD	Official value missing
Payments for property, plant and equipment	—	—	Official value missing
Payments for software development	—	—	Official value missing

Value provenance and definitions

{
  "normalization_version": "reported-annual-v1",
  "policy": {
    "version": "reported-annual-v1",
    "minimum_days": 330,
    "maximum_days": 400,
    "maximum_periods": 6,
    "relative_tolerance": 0.005,
    "absolute_tolerance": 1
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  "reported_observation_id": "3ec5349b9a89cd89f1072a4267078feeb1009b57d0957bd06abcdc210d655133",
  "yahoo_observation_id": "f5160290d5746dd69150cf247f69f042fab17c1126b681cf80d6ff270a4af351",
  "period": {
    "accession": "0000895421-26-000086",
    "cik": "0000895421",
    "filing_date": "2026-02-19",
    "form": "10-K",
    "later_unmapped_accessions": [],
    "metrics": [
      {
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        "evidence": [],
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        "comparison": "missing",
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      },
      {
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        "field": "operating_income",
        "comparison": "missing",
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      },
      {
        "currency": "USD",
        "evidence": [
          {
            "concept": "NetIncomeLoss",
            "end": "2023-12-31",
            "label": "Net Income (Loss) Attributable to Parent",
            "raw_fact": {
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              "filed": "2026-02-19",
              "form": "10-K",
              "fp": "FY",
              "frame": "CY2023",
              "fy": 2025,
              "start": "2023-01-01",
              "val": 9087000000
            },
            "start": "2023-01-01",
            "taxonomy": "us-gaap",
            "unit": "USD",
            "value": 9087000000.0
          }
        ],
        "period_start": "2023-01-01",
        "status": "reported",
        "value": 9087000000.0,
        "field": "net_income",
        "comparison": "numerical_match",
        "yahoo_value": 9087000000.0,
        "yahoo_currency": "USD",
        "delta": 0.0,
        "tolerance": 45435000.0
      },
      {
        "currency": "USD",
        "evidence": [
          {
            "concept": "NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities",
            "end": "2023-12-31",
            "label": "Net Cash Provided by (Used in) Operating Activities",
            "raw_fact": {
              "accn": "0000895421-26-000086",
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              "filed": "2026-02-19",
              "form": "10-K",
              "fp": "FY",
              "frame": "CY2023",
              "fy": 2025,
              "start": "2023-01-01",
              "val": -33536000000
            },
            "start": "2023-01-01",
            "taxonomy": "us-gaap",
            "unit": "USD",
            "value": -33536000000.0
          }
        ],
        "period_start": "2023-01-01",
        "status": "reported",
        "value": -33536000000.0,
        "field": "operating_cashflow",
        "comparison": "numerical_match",
        "yahoo_value": -33536000000.0,
        "yahoo_currency": "USD",
        "delta": 0.0,
        "tolerance": 167680000.0
      },
      {
        "currency": null,
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        "field": "total_assets",
        "comparison": "missing",
        "yahoo_value": 1193693000000.0,
        "yahoo_currency": "USD",
        "delta": null,
        "tolerance": null
      },
      {
        "currency": null,
        "evidence": [],
        "period_start": null,
        "status": "missing",
        "value": null,
        "field": "ppe_payments",
        "comparison": "missing",
        "yahoo_value": null,
        "yahoo_currency": "USD",
        "delta": null,
        "tolerance": null
      },
      {
        "currency": null,
        "evidence": [],
        "period_start": null,
        "status": "missing",
        "value": null,
        "field": "software_payments",
        "comparison": "missing",
        "yahoo_value": null,
        "yahoo_currency": "USD",
        "delta": null,
        "tolerance": null
      }
    ],
    "period_end": "2023-12-31",
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/895421/000089542126000086/0000895421-26-000086-index.html"
  }
}

SEC payments for property and software development are distinct components. They are not automatically equated with Yahoo capital expenditure or free cash flow. No implicit summation or reconstruction.

Valuation versus its own history

Current P/E 19.0 versus a historical median of 14.1 over 9 fiscal years: score 13.2.

Fiscal year end	Diluted EPS (split-adjusted)	Average price over the following 52 weeks	P/E
2016-12-31	2.92	46.14	15.8
2017-12-31	3.07	49.81	16.2
2018-12-31	4.73	44.33	9.4
2019-12-31	5.19	49.15	9.5
2020-12-31	6.46	90.21	14.0
2021-12-31	8.03	86.78	10.8
2022-12-31	6.15	86.55	14.1
2023-12-31	5.18	102.05	19.7
2024-12-31	7.95	141.49	17.8

For each past fiscal year with positive earnings: average weekly price in the 12 months after the year end divided by the diluted EPS in the 10-K (SEC), adjusted for splits after the filing. The current P/E uses the latest price and latest annual EPS, the same definition. Score 50 at the median, 100 at two thirds of it, 0 at 1.5 times (log scale). At least 3 fiscal years are required. A stock expensive versus its own history can stay so: not a forecast.

SEC XBRL · Yahoo · historical-pe-v1

Earnings revisions

How analyst expectations change. An indicator separate from company quality: it is not a probability of price appreciation.

Score · current year71.1/100

EPS · 30-day change-0.4%

EPS analysts21

Acquired on: 2026-09-28T17:05:21.935793Z · yfinance

Current quarter · 64.9

EPS: 3.1232 USD · EPS analysts: 14

Prior estimate	EPS	Δ EPS	Δ %
7d	3.1574	-0.0343	-1.1%
30d	3.1595	-0.0364	-1.2%
60d	3.1522	-0.0290	-0.9%
90d	2.9078	0.2154	7.4%

Upward / downward revisions: 7d ↑ 2 / ↓ 0 · 30d ↑ 12 / ↓ 2

Revenue consensus: 20,663,370,980 USD

Next quarter · 67.1

EPS: 2.9441 USD · EPS analysts: 14

Prior estimate	EPS	Δ EPS	Δ %
7d	2.9448	-0.0007	-0.0%
30d	2.9434	0.0007	0.0%
60d	2.9347	0.0094	0.3%
90d	2.8161	0.1280	4.5%

Upward / downward revisions: 7d ↑ 2 / ↓ 0 · 30d ↑ 12 / ↓ 1

Revenue consensus: 20,435,330,550 USD

Current year · 71.1

EPS: 12.9241 USD · EPS analysts: 21

Prior estimate	EPS	Δ EPS	Δ %
7d	12.9778	-0.0537	-0.4%
30d	12.9782	-0.0541	-0.4%
60d	12.9884	-0.0642	-0.5%
90d	11.9319	0.9923	8.3%

Upward / downward revisions: 7d ↑ 1 / ↓ 0 · 30d ↑ 19 / ↓ 0

Revenue consensus: 82,497,920,640 USD

Next year · 70.9

EPS: 13.6561 USD · EPS analysts: 21

Prior estimate	EPS	Δ EPS	Δ %
7d	13.6802	-0.0241	-0.2%
30d	13.6493	0.0068	0.0%
60d	13.6383	0.0177	0.1%
90d	12.7684	0.8877	7.0%

Upward / downward revisions: 7d ↑ 2 / ↓ 0 · 30d ↑ 19 / ↓ 0

Revenue consensus: 86,378,933,040 USD

Method, limitations and source data

Heuristic 0–100 score: EPS change magnitude (65%) and 30-day revision balance (35%). The 7/30/60/90-day windows weigh 10/40/20/30%; changes from −20% to +20% map to 0–100. The summary always uses the current year. Weights and contributions are available below.

Periods are relative to acquisition: this feed provides no verified fiscal end. Currency and EPS accounting basis are not independently verified. Counts represent revisions, not necessarily distinct analysts. Prior estimates were acquired with this snapshot and were not available to this system at their past dates. Guidance is unavailable from this source.

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    "eps_absolute_tolerance": 1e-06,
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}

Trading plan and history

Trading Setup · 15 sessions

Entry—

Technical target—

Invalidation—

Show advanced data

FinalScore: — · technical-setup-v1

Open existing technical view

Score history

At least two observations are needed. History starts with the new version's observations.

Thesis and scenarios

Thesis memory

How Krazerr's reading of this stock changed, day by day. Derived from immutable snapshots: the past is never rewritten.

Market Compatibility no longer available · Market regime: Risk-on → Unavailable

2026-09-28

Why now: Earnings revisions 71

Main concern: rich valuation

Market regime: Unavailable · investment-intelligence-v1.22

Model updated (not like-for-like)

2026-09-24

Why now: Earnings revisions 72

Main concern: rich valuation

Market regime: Risk-on · investment-intelligence-v1.22

First available reading

2026-09-23

Why now: Earnings revisions 72

Main concern: rich valuation

Market regime: Risk-on · investment-intelligence-v1.21

thesis-memory-v1 · Changes reported from 10 points, only within the same model version.

Scenario Lab

Estimated scenario sensitivity based on model assumptions and historical relationships. Not a prediction or calibrated probability interval.

Events, news and filings

Events and calendar

Events that could change the thesis. Materiality is a declared rule on structured facts: it is neither a price forecast nor a positive or negative judgement.

Effect on risk

From model v1.6 the risk «Events» family uses these values (higher = more risk). An unknown date stays unavailable; it is not read as no upcoming earnings.

Risk	/100	Why this score
Earnings risk	43	scheduled earnings: 90 within 5 days, 20 beyond 21 · in 16 days
Material event risk	20	no material SEC filing in the last 30 days: baseline level

event-risk-v1 · event-materiality-v1

Next earnings2026-10-14in 16 days · date confirmed by the provider

Latest EPS surprise17.9%Quarter ended 2026-06-30

High-materiality events0last 30 days

Scheduled

Scheduled earnings

2026-10-14 12:30 UTC

Yahoo Finance · scheduled · date confirmed by the provider

Materiality 60 · medium

Why this materiality

Materiality: Upcoming earnings: may change expected earnings and the thesis
Confidence: 65/100 · confirmed date
First acquired: 2026-09-23T15:25:38.183658Z

{
  "id": "yf:earnings:MS:2026-10-14T12:30:00.000000Z",
  "observation_id": "3c103114d5be497a0567aa7adaaee8eb5ca5ba13d1ecea3913f4e89e8d5fe22e",
  "corroborated_by": null,
  "processed_at": "2026-09-23T15:25:38.183658Z",
  "time_precision": "datetime",
  "period_end": null
}

Relevant event timeline

Operating results and financial condition · 8-K

2026-07-15 11:50 UTC

SEC · filed

Materiality 45 · mediumRead the document ↗

Why this materiality

Materiality: Operating results and financial condition
Confidence: 95/100 · items declared in the SEC filing
First acquired: 2026-09-23T18:19:23.123468Z

{
  "id": "sec:0000895421:0000895421-26-000207",
  "observation_id": "8b3836ceab84f7d6a87413658cc5a48a6cb6bc77f53fa63b8eb9bd1c21719095",
  "corroborated_by": null,
  "processed_at": "2026-09-24T04:39:19.853965Z",
  "time_precision": "datetime",
  "period_end": null
}

Quarterly results released

Quarter ended 2026-06-30

Yahoo Finance · released · EPS above estimate

Materiality 81 · high

EPS 3.4600 · Estimate 2.9337 · Surprise 17.9% · Quarter ended 2026-06-30

Why this materiality

Materiality: Results released · size of the surprise versus the estimate
Confidence: 52/100 · release date unavailable
First acquired: 2026-09-23T15:25:38.183658Z

{
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  "observation_id": "3c103114d5be497a0567aa7adaaee8eb5ca5ba13d1ecea3913f4e89e8d5fe22e",
  "corroborated_by": null,
  "processed_at": "2026-09-23T15:25:38.183658Z",
  "time_precision": "quarter_end_only",
  "period_end": "2026-06-30"
}

Operating results and financial condition · 8-K

2026-04-15 11:57 UTC

SEC · filed

Materiality 45 · mediumRead the document ↗

Why this materiality

Materiality: Operating results and financial condition
Confidence: 95/100 · items declared in the SEC filing
First acquired: 2026-09-23T18:19:23.123468Z

{
  "id": "sec:0000895421:0000895421-26-000111",
  "observation_id": "8b3836ceab84f7d6a87413658cc5a48a6cb6bc77f53fa63b8eb9bd1c21719095",
  "corroborated_by": null,
  "processed_at": "2026-09-24T04:39:19.853965Z",
  "time_precision": "datetime",
  "period_end": null
}

Quarterly results released

Quarter ended 2026-03-31

Yahoo Finance · released · EPS above estimate

Materiality 72 · high

EPS 3.4300 · Estimate 3.0176 · Surprise 13.7% · Quarter ended 2026-03-31

Why this materiality

Materiality: Results released · size of the surprise versus the estimate
Confidence: 52/100 · release date unavailable
First acquired: 2026-09-23T15:25:38.183658Z

{
  "id": "yf:earnings-result:MS:2026-03-31",
  "observation_id": "3c103114d5be497a0567aa7adaaee8eb5ca5ba13d1ecea3913f4e89e8d5fe22e",
  "corroborated_by": null,
  "processed_at": "2026-09-23T15:25:38.183658Z",
  "time_precision": "quarter_end_only",
  "period_end": "2026-03-31"
}

Annual report · 10-K

2026-02-19 21:42 UTC

SEC · filed

Materiality 40 · mediumRead the document ↗

Why this materiality

Materiality: Annual report
Confidence: 95/100 · items declared in the SEC filing
First acquired: 2026-09-23T18:19:23.123468Z

{
  "id": "sec:0000895421:0000895421-26-000086",
  "observation_id": "8b3836ceab84f7d6a87413658cc5a48a6cb6bc77f53fa63b8eb9bd1c21719095",
  "corroborated_by": null,
  "processed_at": "2026-09-24T04:39:19.853965Z",
  "time_precision": "datetime",
  "period_end": null
}

Operating results and financial condition · 8-K

2026-01-15 13:33 UTC

SEC · filed

Materiality 45 · mediumRead the document ↗

Why this materiality

Materiality: Operating results and financial condition
Confidence: 95/100 · items declared in the SEC filing
First acquired: 2026-09-23T18:19:23.123468Z

{
  "id": "sec:0000895421:0000895421-26-000007",
  "observation_id": "8b3836ceab84f7d6a87413658cc5a48a6cb6bc77f53fa63b8eb9bd1c21719095",
  "corroborated_by": null,
  "processed_at": "2026-09-24T04:39:19.853965Z",
  "time_precision": "datetime",
  "period_end": null
}

Quarterly results released

Quarter ended 2025-12-31

Yahoo Finance · released · EPS above estimate

Materiality 64 · medium

EPS 2.6800 · Estimate 2.4496 · Surprise 9.4% · Quarter ended 2025-12-31

Why this materiality

Materiality: Results released · size of the surprise versus the estimate
Confidence: 52/100 · release date unavailable
First acquired: 2026-09-23T15:25:38.183658Z

{
  "id": "yf:earnings-result:MS:2025-12-31",
  "observation_id": "3c103114d5be497a0567aa7adaaee8eb5ca5ba13d1ecea3913f4e89e8d5fe22e",
  "corroborated_by": null,
  "processed_at": "2026-09-23T15:25:38.183658Z",
  "time_precision": "quarter_end_only",
  "period_end": "2025-12-31"
}

Operating results and financial condition · 8-K

2025-10-15 11:48 UTC

SEC · filed

Materiality 45 · mediumRead the document ↗

Why this materiality

Materiality: Operating results and financial condition
Confidence: 95/100 · items declared in the SEC filing
First acquired: 2026-09-23T18:19:23.123468Z

{
  "id": "sec:0000895421:0000895421-25-000535",
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  "corroborated_by": null,
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  "time_precision": "datetime",
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}

Quarterly results released

Quarter ended 2025-09-30

Yahoo Finance · released · EPS above estimate

Materiality 85 · high

EPS 2.8000 · Estimate 2.1112 · Surprise 32.6% · Quarter ended 2025-09-30

Why this materiality

Materiality: Results released · size of the surprise versus the estimate
Confidence: 52/100 · release date unavailable
First acquired: 2026-09-23T15:25:38.183658Z

{
  "id": "yf:earnings-result:MS:2025-09-30",
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  "processed_at": "2026-09-23T15:25:38.183658Z",
  "time_precision": "quarter_end_only",
  "period_end": "2025-09-30"
}

9 low-materiality events (dividends, splits, unclassified documents) are not listed here; they remain available through the API and in the document catalog. Company filings and events ↓

Method, limitations and rules

Materiality 0–100 from versioned rules: declared 8-K items (for example bankruptcy 95, non-reliance on statements 90, officer changes 55), form type, scheduled earnings (60, +15 within 14 days), released results (45 plus up to 40 in proportion to the EPS surprise, saturating at 20%). High from 70, medium from 40. Sentiment exists only for the EPS surprise (±2%). Confidence reflects source and date precision.

Heuristic rules not calibrated on returns; document text is not read. The Yahoo calendar is not a primary source and results history lacks release dates. Macro events (Fed, CPI, PCE, jobs), guidance, M&A and news are not yet connected. Events do not change the scores.

Last checked UTC: yfinance 2026-09-28T17:05:22.362451Z · sec-edgar 2026-09-28T20:26:44.886543Z · event-materiality-v1

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    "high": 70,
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    "sec-edgar": 95,
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  },
  "sec_topics": {
    "bankruptcy": 95,
    "restatement": 90,
    "debt_trigger": 75,
    "auditor": 70,
    "listing": 70,
    "cybersecurity": 65,
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    "restructuring": 60,
    "management": 55,
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  },
  "sec_unclassified": 25,
  "unclassified_confidence_multiplier": 0.6,
  "earnings_scheduled": 60,
  "earnings_imminent_bonus": 15,
  "earnings_window_days": 14,
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  "surprise_materiality_bonus": 40,
  "surprise_saturation": 0.2,
  "surprise_sentiment_threshold": 0.02,
  "minimum_estimate_abs": 0.01,
  "vendor_surprise_tolerance": 0.005,
  "dividend": 15,
  "split": 25,
  "confidence_multipliers": {
    "confirmed": 1.0,
    "estimated": 0.6,
    "status_unknown": 0.8,
    "quarter_end_only": 0.8,
    "date_passed_unconfirmed": 0.5
  },
  "corroborated_confidence": 90,
  "corroboration_days": 1,
  "result_link_max_days": 120,
  "maximum_calendar_age_hours": 48,
  "recent_days": 30
}

News that could change the thesis

Morgan Stanley Lagged Its Peers After UBS Merger Talk and a Target Cut. Here’s What the Stock Already Prices In
09/27/2026 · TIKR · M&A · Materiality 65 · Could touch: Company Quality, Valuation, Risk
Micron’s Post-Earnings Estimate Hikes May Lag Previous Quarters, Flags Morgan Stanley
09/28/2026 · Stocktwits · Results · Materiality 60 · Could touch: Company Quality, Earnings revisions

8 feed headlines not shown (low materiality 3, not about the company 5)

Headlines only from Yahoo Finance (an aggregator, not a primary source): article text is neither read nor stored. Only news naming the company is shown, classified with declared rules; materiality is not a positive or negative judgement and news does not enter the scores. · news-events-v1

Company filings and events

Official SEC documents. Categories describe the declared topics, not price impact: open the source to verify what changed. These documents do not automatically change scores.

Quarterly report

2026-08-04

SEC · 10-Q

Read the document ↗

Dates and provenance

SEC accession: 0000895421-26-000212
Reported reference date: 2026-06-30
Acceptance reported by SEC (UTC): 2026-08-04T20:04:32.000000Z
First acquired: 2026-09-23T18:19:23.123468Z
Declared form sections: —

The main date is the filing date, not necessarily the event date. Acceptance time is provider-reported. First acquired indicates when Krazerr observed the document; metadata revisions retain their own acquisition dates.

Operating results and financial condition

2026-07-15

SEC · 8-K

Read the document ↗

Dates and provenance

SEC accession: 0000895421-26-000207
Reported reference date: 2026-07-15
Acceptance reported by SEC (UTC): 2026-07-15T11:50:58.000000Z
First acquired: 2026-09-23T18:19:23.123468Z
Declared form sections: 2.02, 9.01

Company disclosure

2026-06-24

SEC · 8-K

Read the document ↗

Dates and provenance

SEC accession: 0000950103-26-009448
Reported reference date: 2026-06-24
Acceptance reported by SEC (UTC): 2026-06-24T20:52:55.000000Z
First acquired: 2026-09-23T18:19:23.123468Z
Declared form sections: 8.01, 9.01

Company disclosure

2026-05-15

SEC · 8-K

Read the document ↗

Dates and provenance

SEC accession: 0000950103-26-007291
Reported reference date: 2026-05-14
Acceptance reported by SEC (UTC): 2026-05-15T20:39:14.000000Z
First acquired: 2026-09-23T18:19:23.123468Z
Declared form sections: 5.07

Quarterly report

2026-05-05

SEC · 10-Q

Read the document ↗

Dates and provenance

SEC accession: 0000895421-26-000121
Reported reference date: 2026-03-31
Acceptance reported by SEC (UTC): 2026-05-05T20:15:42.000000Z
First acquired: 2026-09-23T18:19:23.123468Z
Declared form sections: —

Operating results and financial condition

2026-04-15

SEC · 8-K

Read the document ↗

Dates and provenance

SEC accession: 0000895421-26-000111
Reported reference date: 2026-04-15
Acceptance reported by SEC (UTC): 2026-04-15T11:57:33.000000Z
First acquired: 2026-09-23T18:19:23.123468Z
Declared form sections: 2.02, 9.01

Annual report

2026-02-19

SEC · 10-K

Read the document ↗

Dates and provenance

SEC accession: 0000895421-26-000086
Reported reference date: 2025-12-31
Acceptance reported by SEC (UTC): 2026-02-19T21:42:18.000000Z
First acquired: 2026-09-23T18:19:23.123468Z
Declared form sections: —

Company disclosure

2026-02-11

SEC · 8-K

Read the document ↗

Dates and provenance

SEC accession: 0000950103-26-001967
Reported reference date: 2026-02-11
Acceptance reported by SEC (UTC): 2026-02-11T21:19:18.000000Z
First acquired: 2026-09-23T18:19:23.123468Z
Declared form sections: 8.01

Operating results and financial condition

2026-01-15

SEC · 8-K

Read the document ↗

Dates and provenance

SEC accession: 0000895421-26-000007
Reported reference date: 2026-01-15
Acceptance reported by SEC (UTC): 2026-01-15T13:33:09.000000Z
First acquired: 2026-09-23T18:19:23.123468Z
Declared form sections: 2.02, 7.01, 9.01

Quarterly report

2025-11-03

SEC · 10-Q

Read the document ↗

Dates and provenance

SEC accession: 0000895421-25-000539
Reported reference date: 2025-09-30
Acceptance reported by SEC (UTC): 2025-11-03T21:09:09.000000Z
First acquired: 2026-09-23T18:19:23.123468Z
Declared form sections: —

Last checked UTC: 2026-09-28T20:26:44.886543Z · Up to 100 documents from the recent SEC catalog; not a complete archive

News & events →

In your portfolio

Source / Model version

Calculated at: 2026-09-28T20:27:34.027860Z

Plus 199 peer company observations, summarised here; the full list stays in the analysis feature snapshot.

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Model scores, not personal recommendations. Missing data is not zero.
Method, sources and limits · Validation · Track Record · News & events · Your workspace