Régimen de mercado: Favorable al riesgo → Neutral
Por qué ahora: —
A tener en cuenta: —
Régimen de mercado: Neutral · investment-intelligence-v1.22
Investment IntelligenceÚltimo cierre: 2026-09-28 · USD
Hechos fechados ya presentes en el análisis, no previsiones. Cada punto enlaza con la sección que lo explica. · thesis-watch-v1
La fiabilidad mide los datos y el modelo, no la probabilidad de ganancia. 0 = riesgo relativamente bajo · 100 = riesgo muy alto
Comparado con empresas observadas por Krazerr, no con todo el sector. (14)
Cobertura: 83,3% · company-quality-v1.5
| Por qué esta puntuación | Score | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Eficiencia del negocio | 39,6 | 4,4 |
| Flujo de caja | 78,6 | 13,1 |
| Calidad de los beneficios | — | — |
| Solidez financiera | 36,9 | 8,2 |
| Crecimiento | 44,6 | 9,9 |
| Rentabilidad | 16,9 | 4,7 |
Cobertura: 65,0% · confidence-v1.2
| Por qué esta puntuación | Score | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Completitud | 76,1 | 19,0 |
| Concordancia entre fuentes | — | — |
| Certeza del calendario | 100,0 | 5,0 |
| Discrepancias contables | 100,0 | 0,0 |
| Actualidad | 79,7 | 12,0 |
| Concordancia entre modelos | — | — |
| Fiabilidad de las fuentes | 70,5 | 14,1 |
| Estabilidad | — | — |
Cobertura: 60,0% · investment-opportunity-v1
| Por qué esta puntuación | Score | Δ |
|---|
Cobertura: 100,0% · market-compatibility-v2.2
| Por qué esta puntuación | Score | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Amplitud | 54,1 | 5,4 |
| Liquidez | 48,9 | 4,9 |
| Tipos | 42,7 | 6,4 |
| Fuerza del sector | 0,0 | 0,0 |
| Tendencia | 45,7 | 11,4 |
| Volatilidad | 45,4 | 6,8 |
Exposiciones medidas en 252 sesiones: beta S&P 500 -0,23 (t -1,7); rentabilidad por +1 punto en el 10 años -0,091 (t -3,5).
Compatibilidad = 50 + (factor de régimen − 50) × exposición. Exposiciones escaladas (beta 1,5 y 0,20 por punto = exposición plena) y reducidas cuando |t| < 2. Sensibilidad histórica, no una previsión.
Sector Consumo defensivo (XLP): por encima de la media de 50 sesiones ✗, de 200 sesiones ✗; fuerza relativa a 50 sesiones frente a SPY -6,2%.
Fuerza del sector = media entre la tendencia del ETF sectorial (0, 50 o 100 según las medias superadas) y su variación frente a SPY de −5% a +5% llevada a 0–100. Describe el sector, no la empresa.
Cobertura: 100,0% · momentum-v1.1
| Por qué esta puntuación | Score | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Máximos | 59,7 | 6,6 |
| Varios horizontes | 29,4 | 6,5 |
| Fuerza relativa | 8,1 | 2,3 |
| Tendencia | 0,0 | 0,0 |
| Volumen | 0,0 | 0,0 |
Cobertura: 85,0% · risk-v1.3
| Por qué esta puntuación | Score | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Caída máxima | 59,5 | 10,5 |
| Eventos | 20,0 | 3,5 |
| Financiero | 74,8 | 13,2 |
| Liquidez | 0,0 | 0,0 |
| Sensibilidad a los tipos | 60,7 | 7,1 |
| Valoración | — | — |
| Volatilidad | 11,4 | 2,7 |
Cobertura: 42,5% · timing-v1.1
| Por qué esta puntuación | Score | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Posición de entrada | 100,0 | — |
| Riesgo/beneficio | — | — |
| Corto plazo | 49,4 | — |
| Estructura | — | — |
| Confirmación de volumen | 0,0 | — |
No calculado: datos disponibles para el 42,5% de los pesos, por debajo del umbral del 60,0%. Un dato ausente no es cero.
Timing no disponible: este valor no está entre los setups del screener, así que faltan la estructura técnica, la entrada, el objetivo y la invalidación del plan. Extensión, RSI y volumen por sí solos no bastan (cobertura inferior al 60%). Un plan reconstruido a partir de los precios entraría siempre en el último cierre: no lo inventamos.
Cobertura: 60,0% · trading-opportunity-v1
| Por qué esta puntuación | Score | Δ |
|---|
La Trading Opportunity requiere Momentum y Timing: sin un setup del screener falta el Timing, por lo que no se calcula. La Investment Opportunity sigue disponible.
Cobertura: 45,5% · valuation-v1.4
| Por qué esta puntuación | Score | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Absoluto | 100,0 | — |
| Flujo de caja | 96,4 | — |
| Ajustado por crecimiento | — | — |
| Histórico | — | — |
| Comparables | 96,4 | — |
No calculado: datos disponibles para el 45,5% de los pesos, por debajo del umbral del 60,0%. Un dato ausente no es cero.
Las métricas anuales priorizan los estados financieros de la SEC cuando periodos, divisa y definiciones son coherentes. Si falta cobertura oficial, se muestra la fuente alternativa. Los datos ambiguos se excluyen; las métricas actuales se mantienen separadas.
| Métrica | Valor | Fuente | Ejercicios utilizados |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crecimiento del flujo de caja libre | 21,23% | Yahoo | 2025-12-31, 2024-12-31 |
| Cobertura de intereses (×) | -4,75 | Yahoo | 2025-12-31 |
| Rotación de activos (×) | 0,29 | Yahoo | 2025-12-31, 2024-12-31 |
| Estabilidad de los beneficios | — | — · No calculable | — |
| Estabilidad del margen operativo | 0,96 | Yahoo | 2025-12-31, 2024-12-31, 2023-12-31 |
La estabilidad va de 0 a 1: más alta significa menor variabilidad en tres ejercicios positivos observados. No es una probabilidad de beneficio. Las métricas ausentes siguen no disponibles.
yfinance · USD
Primera adquisición: 2026-09-23T15:24:16.894703Z
| Cierre del ejercicio | Ingresos | Beneficio neto | Flujo de caja operativo | Inversiones (flujo con signo) | Activos totales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 | 24.942.000.000 | -5.846.000.000 | 4.462.000.000 | -801.000.000 | 81.786.000.000 |
| 2024-12-31 | 25.846.000.000 | 2.744.000.000 | 4.184.000.000 | -1.164.000.000 | 88.287.000.000 |
| 2023-12-31 | 26.640.000.000 | 2.855.000.000 | 3.976.000.000 | -1.013.000.000 | 90.339.000.000 |
| 2022-12-31 | 26.485.000.000 | 2.363.000.000 | 2.469.000.000 | -916.000.000 | 90.513.000.000 |
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}Comparación numérica SEC–Yahoo por ejercicio y divisa. Que los números coincidan no certifica definiciones contables idénticas. Las fuentes de cada métrica y el efecto en la fiabilidad se muestran arriba.
Valores coincidentes en los ejercicios comparados: 3 · Diferencias a revisar: 1 · Valores no comparables o ausentes: 38
Primera adquisición: 2026-09-23T15:24:19.302829Z
10-K · Presentado el 2026-02-12
Leer el documento ↗| Métrica | SEC | Yahoo | Resultado de la comparación |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ingresos | 24.942.000.000 USD | — | Falta el valor de Yahoo |
| Resultado operativo | -4.669.000.000 USD | — | Falta el valor de Yahoo |
| Beneficio neto | -5.846.000.000 USD | — | Falta el valor de Yahoo |
| Flujo de caja operativo | 4.462.000.000 USD | — | Falta el valor de Yahoo |
| Activos totales | 81.786.000.000 USD | — | Falta el valor de Yahoo |
| Pagos por inmovilizado material | 801.000.000 USD | — | Componente distinto: no comparado |
| Pagos por desarrollo de software | — | — | Falta el valor oficial |
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}10-K · Presentado el 2026-02-12
Leer el documento ↗| Métrica | SEC | Yahoo | Resultado de la comparación |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ingresos | 25.846.000.000 USD | — | Falta el valor de Yahoo |
| Resultado operativo | 1.683.000.000 USD | — | Falta el valor de Yahoo |
| Beneficio neto | 2.744.000.000 USD | — | Falta el valor de Yahoo |
| Flujo de caja operativo | 4.184.000.000 USD | — | Falta el valor de Yahoo |
| Activos totales | 88.287.000.000 USD | — | Falta el valor de Yahoo |
| Pagos por inmovilizado material | 1.024.000.000 USD | — | Componente distinto: no comparado |
| Pagos por desarrollo de software | — | — | Falta el valor oficial |
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}10-K · Presentado el 2026-02-12
Leer el documento ↗| Métrica | SEC | Yahoo | Resultado de la comparación |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ingresos | 26.640.000.000 USD | — | Falta el valor de Yahoo |
| Resultado operativo | 4.572.000.000 USD | — | Falta el valor de Yahoo |
| Beneficio neto | 2.855.000.000 USD | — | Falta el valor de Yahoo |
| Flujo de caja operativo | 3.976.000.000 USD | — | Falta el valor de Yahoo |
| Activos totales | — | — | Falta el valor oficial |
| Pagos por inmovilizado material | 1.013.000.000 USD | — | Componente distinto: no comparado |
| Pagos por desarrollo de software | — | — | Falta el valor oficial |
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}10-K · Presentado el 2025-02-13
Leer el documento ↗| Métrica | SEC | Yahoo | Resultado de la comparación |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ingresos | 26.485.000.000 USD | 26.485.000.000 USD | Coinciden dentro de la tolerancia |
| Resultado operativo | 3.634.000.000 USD | 4.547.000.000 USD | Diferencia a revisar |
| Beneficio neto | 2.363.000.000 USD | 2.363.000.000 USD | Coinciden dentro de la tolerancia |
| Flujo de caja operativo | 2.469.000.000 USD | 2.469.000.000 USD | Coinciden dentro de la tolerancia |
| Activos totales | — | 90.513.000.000 USD | Falta el valor oficial |
| Pagos por inmovilizado material | 916.000.000 USD | — | Componente distinto: no comparado |
| Pagos por desarrollo de software | — | — | Falta el valor oficial |
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}10-K · Presentado el 2024-02-15
Leer el documento ↗| Métrica | SEC | Yahoo | Resultado de la comparación |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ingresos | 26.042.000.000 USD | — | Falta el valor de Yahoo |
| Resultado operativo | 3.460.000.000 USD | — | Falta el valor de Yahoo |
| Beneficio neto | 1.012.000.000 USD | — | Falta el valor de Yahoo |
| Flujo de caja operativo | 5.364.000.000 USD | — | Falta el valor de Yahoo |
| Activos totales | — | — | Falta el valor oficial |
| Pagos por inmovilizado material | 905.000.000 USD | — | Componente distinto: no comparado |
| Pagos por desarrollo de software | — | — | Falta el valor oficial |
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}
}10-K · Presentado el 2023-02-16
Leer el documento ↗| Métrica | SEC | Yahoo | Resultado de la comparación |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ingresos | 26.185.000.000 USD | — | Falta el valor de Yahoo |
| Resultado operativo | 2.128.000.000 USD | — | Falta el valor de Yahoo |
| Beneficio neto | 356.000.000 USD | — | Falta el valor de Yahoo |
| Flujo de caja operativo | 4.929.000.000 USD | — | Falta el valor de Yahoo |
| Activos totales | — | — | Falta el valor oficial |
| Pagos por inmovilizado material | 596.000.000 USD | — | Componente distinto: no comparado |
| Pagos por desarrollo de software | — | — | Falta el valor oficial |
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}Los pagos SEC por inmovilizado y por desarrollo de software son componentes distintos. No se equiparan automáticamente con el capex o el flujo de caja libre de Yahoo. Sin sumas ni reconstrucciones implícitas.
PER actual no significativo (beneficios negativos o ausentes).
Para cada ejercicio pasado con beneficios positivos: precio semanal medio en los 12 meses tras el cierre dividido por el BPA diluido del 10-K (SEC), ajustado por los splits posteriores a la presentación. El PER actual usa el último precio y el último BPA anual, misma definición. Puntuación 50 en la mediana, 100 a dos tercios de ella, 0 a 1,5 veces (escala logarítmica). Se requieren al menos 3 ejercicios. Un valor caro frente a su historia puede seguir siéndolo: no es una previsión.
SEC XBRL · Yahoo · historical-pe-v1
Cómo cambian las expectativas de los analistas. Un indicador separado de la calidad de la empresa: no es una probabilidad de revalorización.
Adquirido el: 2026-09-28T17:05:13.669084Z · yfinance
EPS: 0,4233 USD · Analistas del BPA: 16
| Estimación anterior | EPS | Δ EPS | Δ % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | 0,4242 | -0,0009 | -0,2% |
| 30d | 0,4275 | -0,0042 | -1,0% |
| 60d | 0,4662 | -0,0429 | -9,2% |
| 90d | 0,4676 | -0,0443 | -9,5% |
Revisiones al alza / a la baja: 7d ↑ 0 / ↓ 14 · 30d ↑ 0 / ↓ 14
Consenso de ingresos: 6.085.443.380 USD
EPS: 0,4878 USD · Analistas del BPA: 15
| Estimación anterior | EPS | Δ EPS | Δ % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | 0,4876 | 0,0002 | 0,0% |
| 30d | 0,4884 | -0,0006 | -0,1% |
| 60d | 0,4854 | 0,0024 | 0,5% |
| 90d | 0,4835 | 0,0043 | 0,9% |
Revisiones al alza / a la baja: 7d ↑ 8 / ↓ 5 · 30d ↑ 9 / ↓ 5
Consenso de ingresos: 6.264.247.770 USD
EPS: 2,0492 USD · Analistas del BPA: 20
| Estimación anterior | EPS | Δ EPS | Δ % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | 2,0497 | -0,0005 | -0,0% |
| 30d | 2,0524 | -0,0032 | -0,2% |
| 60d | 2,0603 | -0,0111 | -0,5% |
| 90d | 2,0558 | -0,0066 | -0,3% |
Revisiones al alza / a la baja: 7d ↑ 0 / ↓ 0 · 30d ↑ 4 / ↓ 9
Consenso de ingresos: 24.627.946.620 USD
EPS: 2,0876 USD · Analistas del BPA: 20
| Estimación anterior | EPS | Δ EPS | Δ % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | 2,0869 | 0,0006 | 0,0% |
| 30d | 2,0922 | -0,0046 | -0,2% |
| 60d | 2,0986 | -0,0110 | -0,5% |
| 90d | 2,0910 | -0,0034 | -0,2% |
Revisiones al alza / a la baja: 7d ↑ 1 / ↓ 0 · 30d ↑ 7 / ↓ 8
Consenso de ingresos: 24.683.582.040 USD
Puntuación heurística 0–100: magnitud de la variación del BPA (65%) y saldo de revisiones a 30 días (35%). Las ventanas de 7/30/60/90 días pesan 10/40/20/30%; variaciones de −20% a +20% se llevan a 0–100. El resumen usa siempre el año en curso. Pesos y contribuciones disponibles más abajo.
Los periodos son relativos a la adquisición: esta fuente no da un cierre fiscal verificado. La divisa y la base contable del BPA no se verifican de forma independiente. Los recuentos son revisiones, no necesariamente analistas distintos. Las estimaciones anteriores se adquirieron con esta instantánea y no estaban disponibles para este sistema en sus fechas pasadas. Las previsiones de la empresa no están disponibles en esta fuente.
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}Cómo cambió, día a día, la lectura de Krazerr sobre esta acción. Derivado de instantáneas inmutables: el pasado nunca se reescribe.
Por qué ahora: —
A tener en cuenta: —
Régimen de mercado: Neutral · investment-intelligence-v1.22
Por qué ahora: —
A tener en cuenta: —
Régimen de mercado: Favorable al riesgo · investment-intelligence-v1.22
Por qué ahora: —
A tener en cuenta: —
Régimen de mercado: Favorable al riesgo · investment-intelligence-v1.21
thesis-memory-v1 · Cambios señalados desde 10 puntos, solo dentro de la misma versión del modelo.
Sensibilidad estimada del escenario según supuestos del modelo y relaciones históricas. No es una predicción ni un intervalo de probabilidad calibrado.
Eventos que podrían cambiar la tesis. La relevancia es una regla declarada sobre hechos estructurados: no es una previsión de precio ni un juicio positivo o negativo.
Desde el modelo v1.6, la familia «Eventos» del riesgo usa estos valores (más alto = más riesgo). Una fecha desconocida sigue no disponible; no se interpreta como ausencia de resultados próximos.
| Riesgo | /100 | Por qué esta puntuación |
|---|---|---|
| Riesgo por resultados | 20 | resultados previstos: 90 en 5 días, 20 más allá de 21 · en 30 días |
| Riesgo por eventos relevantes | 20 | ningún documento SEC relevante en los últimos 30 días: nivel base |
event-risk-v1 · event-materiality-v1
Yahoo Finance · previsto · fecha confirmada por el proveedor
Relevancia 60 · media{
"id": "yf:earnings:KHC:2026-10-28T12:30:00.000000Z",
"observation_id": "61ec9b1e27c71d6eb48581c682ae48722a64797837c3b7bb85632a82dc58eab7",
"corroborated_by": null,
"processed_at": "2026-09-23T15:24:17.811969Z",
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}SEC · presentado
Relevancia 70 · altaLeer el documento ↗{
"id": "sec:0001637459:0001637459-26-000057",
"observation_id": "52fc54347cd8733c3c37fe22c72f3bc8d4f7190214bb95b192be69dbf438ff63",
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"processed_at": "2026-09-23T15:24:18.338781Z",
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}Yahoo Finance · publicado · BPA por encima de la estimación
Relevancia 56 · mediaEPS 0,5600 · Estimación 0,5303 · Sorpresa 5,6% · Trimestre cerrado el 2026-06-30
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Relevancia 45 · mediaLeer el documento ↗{
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Relevancia 50 · mediaLeer el documento ↗{
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}Yahoo Finance · publicado · BPA por encima de la estimación
Relevancia 76 · altaEPS 0,5800 · Estimación 0,5027 · Sorpresa 15,4% · Trimestre cerrado el 2026-03-31
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}41 eventos de baja relevancia (dividendos, splits, documentos sin clasificar) no se listan aquí; siguen disponibles en la API y en el catálogo de documentos. Documentos y eventos corporativos ↓
Relevancia 0–100 según reglas versionadas: secciones 8-K declaradas (por ejemplo quiebra 95, estados no fiables 90, cambios de directivos 55), tipo de formulario, resultados previstos (60, +15 en 14 días), resultados publicados (45 más hasta 40 en proporción a la sorpresa del BPA, saturando al 20%). Alta desde 70, media desde 40. El sentimiento existe solo para la sorpresa del BPA (±2%). La confianza refleja la fuente y la precisión de la fecha.
Reglas heurísticas no calibradas con rentabilidades; no se lee el texto de los documentos. El calendario de Yahoo no es una fuente primaria y el historial de resultados carece de fechas de publicación. Eventos macro (Fed, IPC, PCE, empleo), previsiones, fusiones y noticias aún no están conectados. Los eventos no modifican las puntuaciones.
Última comprobación UTC: yfinance 2026-09-28T17:05:14.076214Z · sec-edgar 2026-09-28T22:05:54.867850Z · event-materiality-v1
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Solo titulares de Yahoo Finance (agregador, no fuente primaria): el texto de los artículos no se lee ni se guarda. Solo se muestran las noticias que nombran a la empresa, clasificadas con reglas declaradas; la materialidad no es un juicio positivo o negativo y las noticias no entran en las puntuaciones. · news-events-v1
Documentos oficiales de la SEC. Las categorías describen los temas declarados, no el impacto en el precio: abra la fuente para verificar qué cambió. Estos documentos no modifican automáticamente las puntuaciones.
SEC · 8-K
Leer el documento ↗La fecha principal es la de presentación, no necesariamente la del evento. La hora de aceptación la comunica el proveedor. «Primera adquisición» indica cuándo Krazerr observó el documento; las revisiones de metadatos conservan sus propias fechas.
SEC · 8-K
Leer el documento ↗La fecha principal es la de presentación, no necesariamente la del evento. La hora de aceptación la comunica el proveedor. «Primera adquisición» indica cuándo Krazerr observó el documento; las revisiones de metadatos conservan sus propias fechas.
SEC · 10-Q
Leer el documento ↗La fecha principal es la de presentación, no necesariamente la del evento. La hora de aceptación la comunica el proveedor. «Primera adquisición» indica cuándo Krazerr observó el documento; las revisiones de metadatos conservan sus propias fechas.
SEC · 8-K
Leer el documento ↗La fecha principal es la de presentación, no necesariamente la del evento. La hora de aceptación la comunica el proveedor. «Primera adquisición» indica cuándo Krazerr observó el documento; las revisiones de metadatos conservan sus propias fechas.
SEC · 8-K
Leer el documento ↗La fecha principal es la de presentación, no necesariamente la del evento. La hora de aceptación la comunica el proveedor. «Primera adquisición» indica cuándo Krazerr observó el documento; las revisiones de metadatos conservan sus propias fechas.
SEC · 10-Q
Leer el documento ↗La fecha principal es la de presentación, no necesariamente la del evento. La hora de aceptación la comunica el proveedor. «Primera adquisición» indica cuándo Krazerr observó el documento; las revisiones de metadatos conservan sus propias fechas.
SEC · 8-K
Leer el documento ↗La fecha principal es la de presentación, no necesariamente la del evento. La hora de aceptación la comunica el proveedor. «Primera adquisición» indica cuándo Krazerr observó el documento; las revisiones de metadatos conservan sus propias fechas.
SEC · 8-K
Leer el documento ↗La fecha principal es la de presentación, no necesariamente la del evento. La hora de aceptación la comunica el proveedor. «Primera adquisición» indica cuándo Krazerr observó el documento; las revisiones de metadatos conservan sus propias fechas.
SEC · 8-K
Leer el documento ↗La fecha principal es la de presentación, no necesariamente la del evento. La hora de aceptación la comunica el proveedor. «Primera adquisición» indica cuándo Krazerr observó el documento; las revisiones de metadatos conservan sus propias fechas.
SEC · 8-K
Leer el documento ↗La fecha principal es la de presentación, no necesariamente la del evento. La hora de aceptación la comunica el proveedor. «Primera adquisición» indica cuándo Krazerr observó el documento; las revisiones de metadatos conservan sus propias fechas.
Última comprobación UTC: 2026-09-28T22:05:54.867850Z · Hasta 100 documentos del catálogo SEC reciente; no es un archivo completo
Calculado el: 2026-09-28T22:06:28.629310Z
Más 56 observaciones de las empresas comparables, resumidas aquí; la lista completa se conserva en la feature snapshot del análisis.
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"retrieved_at": "2026-09-23T15:24:17.811969Z",
"source": "yfinance"
}
]Puntuaciones del modelo, no recomendaciones personales. Un dato ausente no es cero.
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