Régime de marché: Favorable au risque → Neutre
Pourquoi maintenant : —
À surveiller : —
Régime de marché: Neutre · investment-intelligence-v1.22
Duke Energy Corporation
DUKDernière clôture: 2026-09-28 · USD
Trading Opportunity—Indisponible
Investment Opportunity42,2modéré
Qualité de l’entreprise45,0modéré
Valorisation59,4modéré
Momentum20,6faible
Timing—Indisponible
Risque32,9faible
Compatibilité avec le marché33,7faible
Fiabilité des données54,0/100
Ce qui pourrait changer la thèse
- Prochains résultats le 05/11/2026 (date confirmée par le fournisseur), dans 37 jours. Détails
- PER 18,0 sous sa médiane historique de 23,9 (9 exercices). Détails
- Régime de marché : Neutre ; compatibilité du titre 34. Détails
Faits datés déjà présents dans l’analyse, pas des prévisions. Chaque point renvoie à la section qui l’explique. · thesis-watch-v1
Pourquoi ces scores
La fiabilité mesure les données et le modèle, pas la probabilité de gain. 0 = risque relativement faible · 100 = risque très élevé
Comparé aux entreprises observées par Krazerr, pas à tout le secteur. (9)
Sociétés comparables (9)
Qualité de l’entreprise · 45,0
Couverture: 83,3 % · company-quality-v1.5
| Pourquoi ce score | Score | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Efficacité opérationnelle | — | — |
| Flux de trésorerie | 55,6 | 9,3 |
| Qualité des bénéfices | 36,1 | 4,0 |
| Solidité financière | 48,1 | 10,7 |
| Croissance | 38,9 | 8,6 |
| Rentabilité | 44,4 | 12,3 |
Fiabilité des données · 54,0
Couverture: 80,0 % · confidence-v1.2
| Pourquoi ce score | Score | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Complétude | 87,6 | 21,9 |
| Concordance entre sources | 30,0 | 4,5 |
| Certitude du calendrier | 100,0 | 5,0 |
| Écarts comptables | 94,0 | -3,4 |
| Fraîcheur | 79,4 | 11,9 |
| Concordance entre modèles | — | — |
| Fiabilité des sources | 70,6 | 14,1 |
| Stabilité | — | — |
Investment Opportunity · 42,2
Couverture: 85,0 % · investment-opportunity-v1
| Pourquoi ce score | Score | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Qualité de l’entreprise | 45,0 | 18,5 |
| Compatibilité avec le marché | 33,7 | 5,9 |
| Momentum | 20,6 | 2,4 |
| Ajustement au risque | — | -2,2 |
| Valorisation | 59,4 | 17,5 |
Compatibilité avec le marché · 33,7
Couverture: 100,0 % · market-compatibility-v2.2
| Pourquoi ce score | Score | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Largeur | 58,4 | 5,8 |
| Liquidité | 47,8 | 4,8 |
| Taux | 44,6 | 6,7 |
| Force du secteur | 0,0 | 0,0 |
| Tendance | 41,2 | 10,3 |
| Volatilité | 40,6 | 6,1 |
Expositions mesurées sur 252 séances : bêta S&P 500 -0,40 (t -5,1) ; rendement par +1 point du 10 ans -0,068 (t -4,5).
Compatibilité = 50 + (facteur de régime − 50) × exposition. Expositions mises à l’échelle (bêta 1,5 et 0,20 par point = exposition complète) et réduites quand |t| < 2. Sensibilité historique, pas une prévision.
Secteur Services aux collectivités (XLU) : au-dessus de la moyenne sur 50 séances ✗, sur 200 séances ✗ ; force relative sur 50 séances face au SPY -15,6 %.
Force du secteur = moyenne entre la tendance de l’ETF sectoriel (0, 50 ou 100 selon les moyennes dépassées) et sa variation face au SPY de −5 % à +5 % ramenée à 0–100. Décrit le secteur, pas l’entreprise.
Momentum · 20,6
Couverture: 100,0 % · momentum-v1.1
| Pourquoi ce score | Score | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Plus hauts | 60,8 | 6,8 |
| Plusieurs horizons | 26,2 | 5,8 |
| Force relative | 13,0 | 3,6 |
| Tendance | 0,0 | 0,0 |
| Volume | 26,6 | 4,4 |
Risque · 32,9
Couverture: 100,0 % · risk-v1.3
| Pourquoi ce score | Score | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Baisse maximale | 22,8 | 3,4 |
| Événements | 35,9 | 5,4 |
| Financier | 83,0 | 12,5 |
| Liquidité | 0,0 | 0,0 |
| Sensibilité aux taux | 45,4 | 4,5 |
| Valorisation | 40,6 | 6,1 |
| Volatilité | 5,0 | 1,0 |
Timing · —
Couverture: 42,5 % · timing-v1.1
| Pourquoi ce score | Score | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Position d’entrée | 100,0 | — |
| Risque/rendement | — | — |
| Court terme | 25,5 | — |
| Structure | — | — |
| Confirmation par le volume | 35,4 | — |
Non calculé : données disponibles pour 42,5 % des pondérations, sous le seuil de 60,0 %. Une donnée manquante ne vaut pas zéro.
Timing indisponible : ce titre ne fait pas partie des configurations du screener, donc la structure technique, l’entrée, l’objectif et l’invalidation du plan manquent. Extension, RSI et volume seuls ne suffisent pas (couverture inférieure à 60 %). Un plan reconstruit à partir des cours entrerait toujours à la dernière clôture : nous n’en inventons pas.
Trading Opportunity · —
Couverture: 70,0 % · trading-opportunity-v1
| Pourquoi ce score | Score | Δ |
|---|
La Trading Opportunity exige Momentum et Timing : sans configuration du screener, le Timing manque, elle n’est donc pas calculée. L’Investment Opportunity reste disponible.
Valorisation · 59,4
Couverture: 100,0 % · valuation-v1.4
| Pourquoi ce score | Score | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Absolu | 0,0 | 0,0 |
| Flux de trésorerie | 66,7 | 16,2 |
| Ajusté de la croissance | 35,0 | 8,5 |
| Historique | 85,3 | 12,8 |
| Pairs | 72,2 | 21,9 |
États financiers et qualité des bénéfices
Les indicateurs annuels privilégient les états financiers SEC lorsque périodes, devise et définitions concordent. Sans couverture officielle, la source de repli est affichée. Les données ambiguës sont exclues ; les indicateurs actuels restent séparés.
| Indicateur | Valeur | Source | Exercices utilisés |
|---|---|---|---|
| Croissance du flux de trésorerie disponible | -3 629,17 % | Yahoo | 2025-12-31, 2024-12-31 |
| Couverture des intérêts (×) | 2,57 | Yahoo | 2025-12-31 |
| Rotation des actifs (×) | 0,17 | SEC | 2025-12-31, 2024-12-31 |
| Stabilité des bénéfices | 0,82 | SEC | 2025-12-31, 2024-12-31, 2023-12-31 |
| Stabilité de la marge opérationnelle | 0,96 | SEC | 2025-12-31, 2024-12-31, 2023-12-31 |
La stabilité va de 0 à 1 : plus elle est élevée, plus la variabilité est faible sur trois exercices positifs observés. Ce n’est pas une probabilité de profit. Les indicateurs manquants restent indisponibles.
Valeurs annuelles du fournisseur de repli
yfinance · USD
Première acquisition: 2026-09-23T15:25:01.647779Z
| Clôture de l’exercice | Chiffre d’affaires | Résultat net | Flux de trésorerie opérationnel | Investissements (flux signé) | Total de l’actif |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 | 32 237 000 000 | 4 968 000 000 | 12 330 000 000 | -14 024 000 000 | 195 736 000 000 |
| 2024-12-31 | 30 357 000 000 | 4 524 000 000 | 12 328 000 000 | -12 280 000 000 | 186 343 000 000 |
| 2023-12-31 | 29 060 000 000 | 2 841 000 000 | 9 878 000 000 | -12 604 000 000 | 176 893 000 000 |
| 2022-12-31 | 28 768 000 000 | 2 550 000 000 | 5 927 000 000 | -11 367 000 000 | 178 086 000 000 |
Sources et motifs de sélection
- Rotation des actifs (×): Calculé à partir d’états SEC aux périodes, devise et définitions cohérentes.
- Stabilité des bénéfices: Calculé à partir d’états SEC aux périodes, devise et définitions cohérentes.
- Croissance du flux de trésorerie disponible: Définition SEC pas encore mise en correspondance ; le fournisseur de repli est utilisé s’il est disponible.
- Couverture des intérêts (×): Définition SEC pas encore mise en correspondance ; le fournisseur de repli est utilisé s’il est disponible.
- Stabilité de la marge opérationnelle: Calculé à partir d’états SEC aux périodes, devise et définitions cohérentes.
Afficher les données avancées
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}Cohérence entre les sources
Clôture de l’exercice: 2025-12-31 · 3/5 valeurs comparées concordent
Il s’agit d’un contrôle numérique de cinq postes du dernier exercice, pas d’une vérification comptable indépendante : Yahoo peut provenir des mêmes documents SEC. La contribution positive à la Fiabilité est limitée ; les écarts appliquent une réduction distincte et visible.
Réduction de la Fiabilité pour écarts: 6,0 % · Δ -3,45
Afficher les données avancées
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}Contrôle par rapport aux états officiels
Comparaison numérique SEC–Yahoo par exercice et devise. Des chiffres identiques ne certifient pas des définitions comptables identiques. Les sources des indicateurs et l’effet sur la fiabilité figurent ci-dessus.
Valeurs concordantes sur les exercices comparés: 15 · Écarts à examiner: 5 · Valeurs non comparables ou manquantes: 22
Première acquisition: 2026-09-26T19:01:09.358901Z
Clôture de l’exercice 2025-12-31
10-K · Déposé le 2026-02-26
Lire le document ↗| Indicateur | SEC | Yahoo | Résultat de la comparaison |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chiffre d’affaires | 31 741 000 000 USD | 32 237 000 000 USD | Écart à examiner |
| Résultat opérationnel | 8 626 000 000 USD | 8 577 000 000 USD | Écart à examiner |
| Résultat net | 4 968 000 000 USD | 4 968 000 000 USD | Concordance dans la tolérance |
| Flux de trésorerie opérationnel | 12 330 000 000 USD | 12 330 000 000 USD | Concordance dans la tolérance |
| Total de l’actif | 195 736 000 000 USD | 195 736 000 000 USD | Concordance dans la tolérance |
| Paiements pour immobilisations corporelles | 14 024 000 000 USD | — | Composante distincte : non comparée |
| Paiements pour développement logiciel | — | — | Valeur officielle manquante |
Provenance et définitions des valeurs
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}Clôture de l’exercice 2024-12-31
10-K · Déposé le 2026-02-26
Lire le document ↗| Indicateur | SEC | Yahoo | Résultat de la comparaison |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chiffre d’affaires | 30 050 000 000 USD | 30 357 000 000 USD | Écart à examiner |
| Résultat opérationnel | 7 926 000 000 USD | 7 938 000 000 USD | Concordance dans la tolérance |
| Résultat net | 4 524 000 000 USD | 4 524 000 000 USD | Concordance dans la tolérance |
| Flux de trésorerie opérationnel | 12 328 000 000 USD | 12 328 000 000 USD | Concordance dans la tolérance |
| Total de l’actif | 186 343 000 000 USD | 186 343 000 000 USD | Concordance dans la tolérance |
| Paiements pour immobilisations corporelles | 12 280 000 000 USD | — | Composante distincte : non comparée |
| Paiements pour développement logiciel | — | — | Valeur officielle manquante |
Provenance et définitions des valeurs
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}Clôture de l’exercice 2023-12-31
10-K · Déposé le 2026-02-26
Lire le document ↗| Indicateur | SEC | Yahoo | Résultat de la comparaison |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chiffre d’affaires | 28 674 000 000 USD | 29 060 000 000 USD | Écart à examiner |
| Résultat opérationnel | 7 070 000 000 USD | 7 103 000 000 USD | Concordance dans la tolérance |
| Résultat net | 2 841 000 000 USD | 2 841 000 000 USD | Concordance dans la tolérance |
| Flux de trésorerie opérationnel | 9 878 000 000 USD | 9 878 000 000 USD | Concordance dans la tolérance |
| Total de l’actif | 176 893 000 000 USD | 176 893 000 000 USD | Concordance dans la tolérance |
| Paiements pour immobilisations corporelles | 12 604 000 000 USD | — | Composante distincte : non comparée |
| Paiements pour développement logiciel | — | — | Valeur officielle manquante |
Provenance et définitions des valeurs
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}Clôture de l’exercice 2022-12-31
10-K · Déposé le 2025-02-27
Lire le document ↗| Indicateur | SEC | Yahoo | Résultat de la comparaison |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chiffre d’affaires | 28 675 000 000 USD | 28 768 000 000 USD | Concordance dans la tolérance |
| Résultat opérationnel | 6 012 000 000 USD | 6 424 000 000 USD | Écart à examiner |
| Résultat net | 2 550 000 000 USD | 2 550 000 000 USD | Concordance dans la tolérance |
| Flux de trésorerie opérationnel | 5 927 000 000 USD | 5 927 000 000 USD | Concordance dans la tolérance |
| Total de l’actif | 178 086 000 000 USD | 178 086 000 000 USD | Concordance dans la tolérance |
| Paiements pour immobilisations corporelles | 11 367 000 000 USD | — | Composante distincte : non comparée |
| Paiements pour développement logiciel | — | — | Valeur officielle manquante |
Provenance et définitions des valeurs
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{
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"evidence": [
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"raw_fact": {
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}Clôture de l’exercice 2021-12-31
10-K · Déposé le 2024-02-23
Lire le document ↗| Indicateur | SEC | Yahoo | Résultat de la comparaison |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chiffre d’affaires | 24 486 000 000 USD | — | Valeur Yahoo manquante |
| Résultat opérationnel | 5 500 000 000 USD | — | Valeur Yahoo manquante |
| Résultat net | 3 908 000 000 USD | — | Valeur Yahoo manquante |
| Flux de trésorerie opérationnel | 8 290 000 000 USD | — | Valeur Yahoo manquante |
| Total de l’actif | 169 587 000 000 USD | — | Valeur Yahoo manquante |
| Paiements pour immobilisations corporelles | 9 715 000 000 USD | — | Composante distincte : non comparée |
| Paiements pour développement logiciel | — | — | Valeur officielle manquante |
Provenance et définitions des valeurs
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{
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],
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}
}Clôture de l’exercice 2020-12-31
10-K · Déposé le 2023-02-27
Lire le document ↗| Indicateur | SEC | Yahoo | Résultat de la comparaison |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chiffre d’affaires | 23 253 000 000 USD | — | Valeur Yahoo manquante |
| Résultat opérationnel | 4 571 000 000 USD | — | Valeur Yahoo manquante |
| Résultat net | 1 377 000 000 USD | — | Valeur Yahoo manquante |
| Flux de trésorerie opérationnel | 8 856 000 000 USD | — | Valeur Yahoo manquante |
| Total de l’actif | 162 388 000 000 USD | — | Valeur Yahoo manquante |
| Paiements pour immobilisations corporelles | 9 907 000 000 USD | — | Composante distincte : non comparée |
| Paiements pour développement logiciel | — | — | Valeur officielle manquante |
Provenance et définitions des valeurs
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}Les paiements SEC pour immobilisations et développement logiciel sont des composantes distinctes. Ils ne sont pas assimilés automatiquement aux investissements ou au flux de trésorerie disponible de Yahoo. Aucune somme ni reconstruction implicite.
Valorisation par rapport à son propre historique
PER actuel 18,0 contre une médiane historique de 23,9 sur 9 exercices : score 85,3.
| Clôture de l’exercice | BPA dilué (ajusté des divisions) | Cours moyen sur les 52 semaines suivantes | P/E |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-12-31 | 3,11 | 84,15 | 27,1 |
| 2017-12-31 | 4,36 | 80,22 | 18,4 |
| 2018-12-31 | 3,76 | 89,97 | 23,9 |
| 2019-12-31 | 5,06 | 87,69 | 17,3 |
| 2020-12-31 | 1,72 | 99,11 | 57,6 |
| 2021-12-31 | 4,94 | 104,39 | 21,1 |
| 2022-12-31 | 3,17 | 94,02 | 29,7 |
| 2023-12-31 | 3,54 | 105,06 | 29,7 |
| 2024-12-31 | 5,71 | 118,88 | 20,8 |
Pour chaque exercice passé bénéficiaire : cours hebdomadaire moyen sur les 12 mois suivant la clôture divisé par le BPA dilué du 10-K (SEC), ajusté des divisions postérieures au dépôt. Le PER actuel utilise le dernier cours et le dernier BPA annuel, même définition. Score 50 à la médiane, 100 aux deux tiers, 0 à 1,5 fois (échelle logarithmique). Au moins 3 exercices requis. Un titre cher par rapport à son historique peut le rester : pas une prévision.
SEC XBRL · Yahoo · historical-pe-v1
Révisions des bénéfices
Comment évoluent les attentes des analystes. Un indicateur distinct de la qualité de l’entreprise : pas une probabilité de hausse du cours.
Score · année en cours53,6/100
BPA · variation sur 30 jours-0,0 %
Analystes du BPA21
Acquis le: 2026-09-28T22:05:48.311184Z · yfinance
Trimestre en cours · 38,9
EPS: 1,8318 USD · Analystes du BPA: 12
| Estimation antérieure | EPS | Δ EPS | Δ % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | 1,8368 | -0,0050 | -0,3 % |
| 30d | 1,8368 | -0,0050 | -0,3 % |
| 60d | 1,8826 | -0,0508 | -2,7 % |
| 90d | 1,9115 | -0,0797 | -4,2 % |
Révisions à la hausse / à la baisse: 7d ↑ 0 / ↓ 3 · 30d ↑ 3 / ↓ 8
Consensus de chiffre d’affaires: 8 912 292 420 USD
Trimestre suivant · 32,8
EPS: 1,5388 USD · Analystes du BPA: 12
| Estimation antérieure | EPS | Δ EPS | Δ % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | 1,5496 | -0,0108 | -0,7 % |
| 30d | 1,5496 | -0,0108 | -0,7 % |
| 60d | 1,5889 | -0,0501 | -3,2 % |
| 90d | 1,5813 | -0,0426 | -2,7 % |
Révisions à la hausse / à la baisse: 7d ↑ 0 / ↓ 3 · 30d ↑ 1 / ↓ 10
Consensus de chiffre d’affaires: 8 026 694 360 USD
Année en cours · 53,6
EPS: 6,7104 USD · Analystes du BPA: 21
| Estimation antérieure | EPS | Δ EPS | Δ % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | 6,7109 | -0,0005 | -0,0 % |
| 30d | 6,7109 | -0,0005 | -0,0 % |
| 60d | 6,7037 | 0,0068 | 0,1 % |
| 90d | 6,7041 | 0,0063 | 0,1 % |
Révisions à la hausse / à la baisse: 7d ↑ 1 / ↓ 0 · 30d ↑ 3 / ↓ 2
Consensus de chiffre d’affaires: 33 736 746 310 USD
Année suivante · 52,0
EPS: 7,1714 USD · Analystes du BPA: 21
| Estimation antérieure | EPS | Δ EPS | Δ % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | 7,1723 | -0,0010 | -0,0 % |
| 30d | 7,1723 | -0,0010 | -0,0 % |
| 60d | 7,1684 | 0,0029 | 0,0 % |
| 90d | 7,1687 | 0,0027 | 0,0 % |
Révisions à la hausse / à la baisse: 7d ↑ 2 / ↓ 1 · 30d ↑ 5 / ↓ 4
Consensus de chiffre d’affaires: 35 284 263 210 USD
Méthode, limites et données sources
Score heuristique 0–100 : ampleur de la variation du BPA (65 %) et solde des révisions à 30 jours (35 %). Les fenêtres de 7/30/60/90 jours pèsent 10/40/20/30 % ; les variations de −20 % à +20 % sont ramenées à 0–100. La synthèse utilise toujours l’année en cours. Pondérations et contributions ci-dessous.
Les périodes sont relatives à l’acquisition : cette source ne fournit pas de clôture fiscale vérifiée. La devise et la base comptable du BPA ne sont pas vérifiées de façon indépendante. Les comptages sont des révisions, pas nécessairement des analystes distincts. Les estimations antérieures ont été acquises avec cet instantané et n’étaient pas disponibles pour ce système à leurs dates passées. Les prévisions de l’entreprise ne sont pas disponibles dans cette source.
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"weight": 0.65
}
},
"coverage": 1,
"eps": {
"analysts": 12,
"consensus": 1.83184,
"currency": "USD",
"high": 1.94,
"low": 1.32
},
"period": "0q",
"period_end": null,
"revenue": {
"analysts": 8,
"consensus": 8912292420.0,
"currency": "USD",
"high": 9070817000.0,
"low": 8535193639.0
},
"revisions": {
"currency": "USD",
"down_30d": 8,
"down_7d": 3,
"up_30d": 3,
"up_7d": 0
},
"score": 38.91655523779351,
"trend": {
"30d": 1.83684,
"60d": 1.88259,
"7d": 1.83684,
"90d": 1.9115,
"currency": "USD",
"current": 1.83184
},
"warnings": []
},
{
"changes": {
"30d": {
"before": 1.54962,
"change_fraction": -0.0069952633548869825,
"current": 1.53878,
"delta": -0.01083999999999996,
"score": 48.25118416127825,
"weight": 0.4
},
"60d": {
"before": 1.58885,
"change_fraction": -0.031513358718570084,
"current": 1.53878,
"delta": -0.05007000000000006,
"score": 42.12166032035748,
"weight": 0.2
},
"7d": {
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"current": 1.53878,
"delta": -0.01083999999999996,
"score": 48.25118416127825,
"weight": 0.1
},
"90d": {
"before": 1.58134,
"change_fraction": -0.02691388316238119,
"current": 1.53878,
"delta": -0.04255999999999993,
"score": 43.271529209404704,
"weight": 0.3
}
},
"components": {
"breadth": {
"contribution": 3.1818181818181825,
"value": 9.090909090909093,
"weight": 0.35
},
"magnitude": {
"contribution": 29.595398889895822,
"value": 45.531382907532034,
"weight": 0.65
}
},
"coverage": 1,
"eps": {
"analysts": 12,
"consensus": 1.53878,
"currency": "USD",
"high": 2.15,
"low": 1.374
},
"period": "+1q",
"period_end": null,
"revenue": {
"analysts": 8,
"consensus": 8026694360.0,
"currency": "USD",
"high": 8571334000.0,
"low": 7412000000.0
},
"revisions": {
"currency": "USD",
"down_30d": 10,
"down_7d": 3,
"up_30d": 1,
"up_7d": 0
},
"score": 32.777217071714006,
"trend": {
"30d": 1.54962,
"60d": 1.58885,
"7d": 1.54962,
"90d": 1.58134,
"currency": "USD",
"current": 1.53878
},
"warnings": []
},
{
"changes": {
"30d": {
"before": 6.7109,
"change_fraction": -7.15254287799727e-05,
"current": 6.71042,
"delta": -0.00047999999999959186,
"score": 49.982118642805005,
"weight": 0.4
},
"60d": {
"before": 6.70367,
"change_fraction": 0.0010069111397190689,
"current": 6.71042,
"delta": 0.006750000000000256,
"score": 50.25172778492977,
"weight": 0.2
},
"7d": {
"before": 6.7109,
"change_fraction": -7.15254287799727e-05,
"current": 6.71042,
"delta": -0.00047999999999959186,
"score": 49.982118642805005,
"weight": 0.1
},
"90d": {
"before": 6.70411,
"change_fraction": 0.0009412136734032739,
"current": 6.71042,
"delta": 0.006310000000000038,
"score": 50.23530341835082,
"weight": 0.3
}
},
"components": {
"breadth": {
"contribution": 21.0,
"value": 60.0,
"weight": 0.35
},
"magnitude": {
"contribution": 32.57279733753091,
"value": 50.1119959038937,
"weight": 0.65
}
},
"coverage": 1,
"eps": {
"analysts": 21,
"consensus": 6.71042,
"currency": "USD",
"high": 6.8,
"low": 6.62
},
"period": "0y",
"period_end": null,
"revenue": {
"analysts": 15,
"consensus": 33736746310.0,
"currency": "USD",
"high": 34412151000.0,
"low": 33042000000.0
},
"revisions": {
"currency": "USD",
"down_30d": 2,
"down_7d": 0,
"up_30d": 3,
"up_7d": 1
},
"score": 53.57279733753091,
"trend": {
"30d": 6.7109,
"60d": 6.70367,
"7d": 6.7109,
"90d": 6.70411,
"currency": "USD",
"current": 6.71042
},
"warnings": []
},
{
"changes": {
"30d": {
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"current": 7.17137,
"delta": -0.0009500000000004505,
"score": 49.96688658620919,
"weight": 0.4
},
"60d": {
"before": 7.16842,
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"current": 7.17137,
"delta": 0.002949999999999342,
"score": 50.102881806590574,
"weight": 0.2
},
"7d": {
"before": 7.17232,
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"current": 7.17137,
"delta": -0.0009500000000004505,
"score": 49.96688658620919,
"weight": 0.1
},
"90d": {
"before": 7.1687,
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"current": 7.17137,
"delta": 0.002669999999999284,
"score": 50.093113116743595,
"weight": 0.3
}
},
"components": {
"breadth": {
"contribution": 19.444444444444443,
"value": 55.55555555555556,
"weight": 0.35
},
"magnitude": {
"contribution": 32.52076983313977,
"value": 50.03195358944579,
"weight": 0.65
}
},
"coverage": 1,
"eps": {
"analysts": 21,
"consensus": 7.17137,
"currency": "USD",
"high": 7.29,
"low": 7.1
},
"period": "+1y",
"period_end": null,
"revenue": {
"analysts": 16,
"consensus": 35284263210.0,
"currency": "USD",
"high": 36508740000.0,
"low": 32896000000.0
},
"revisions": {
"currency": "USD",
"down_30d": 4,
"down_7d": 1,
"up_30d": 5,
"up_7d": 2
},
"score": 51.96521427758421,
"trend": {
"30d": 7.17232,
"60d": 7.16842,
"7d": 7.17232,
"90d": 7.1687,
"currency": "USD",
"current": 7.17137
},
"warnings": []
}
],
"policy": {
"change_bounds": [
-0.2,
0.2
],
"eps_absolute_tolerance": 1e-06,
"eps_relative_tolerance": 0.005,
"family_weights": {
"breadth": 0.35,
"magnitude": 0.65
},
"maximum_age_days": 7,
"minimum_analysts": 3,
"minimum_coverage": 0.6,
"minimum_positive_eps": 0.01,
"minimum_window_coverage": 0.5,
"minimum_windows": 2,
"primary_period": "0y",
"version": "earnings-revisions-v2",
"window_weights": {
"30d": 0.4,
"60d": 0.2,
"7d": 0.1,
"90d": 0.3
}
},
"primary_period": "0y",
"score": 53.57279733753091,
"source": "yfinance",
"status": "partial",
"warnings": [
"relative_forecast_periods_no_fiscal_end",
"lookback_estimates_first_observed_now",
"eps_accounting_basis_unspecified",
"vendor_currency_not_independently_verified"
]
}Plan de trading et historique
Configuration de trading · 15 séances
Entrée—
Objectif technique—
Invalidation—
Historique des scores
Au moins deux observations sont nécessaires. L’historique commence avec les observations de la nouvelle version.
Thèse et scénarios
Mémoire de la thèse
Comment la lecture de Krazerr sur cette action a évolué, jour après jour. Issue d’instantanés immuables : le passé n’est jamais réécrit.
Modèle mis à jour (non comparable)
Pourquoi maintenant : —
À surveiller : —
Régime de marché: Favorable au risque · investment-intelligence-v1.22
Première lecture disponible
Pourquoi maintenant : —
À surveiller : —
Régime de marché: Favorable au risque · investment-intelligence-v1.21
thesis-memory-v1 · Changements signalés à partir de 10 points, uniquement dans la même version du modèle.
Scenario Lab
Sensibilité estimée du scénario selon les hypothèses du modèle et les relations historiques. Ni une prévision ni un intervalle de probabilité calibré.
Événements, actualités et documents
Événements et calendrier
Événements susceptibles de modifier la thèse. La matérialité est une règle déclarée sur des faits structurés : ni une prévision de cours ni un jugement positif ou négatif.
Effet sur le risque
Depuis le modèle v1.6, la famille « Événements » du risque utilise ces valeurs (plus élevé = plus de risque). Une date inconnue reste indisponible ; elle n’est pas lue comme une absence de résultats à venir.
| Risque | /100 | Pourquoi ce score |
|---|---|---|
| Risque lié aux résultats | 20 | résultats prévus : 90 sous 5 jours, 20 au-delà de 21 · dans 38 jours |
| Risque lié aux événements significatifs | 52 | document SEC significatif au cours des 30 derniers jours, poids décroissant avec l’ancienneté |
event-risk-v1 · event-materiality-v1
Prochains résultats2026-11-05dans 38 jours · date confirmée par le fournisseur
Dernière surprise sur le BPA9,6 %Trimestre clos le 2026-06-30
Événements à forte matérialité030 derniers jours
Prévus
Résultats prévus
Yahoo Finance · prévu · date confirmée par le fournisseur
Matérialité 60 · moyennePourquoi cette matérialité
- Matérialité
- Résultats à venir : peuvent modifier les bénéfices attendus et la thèse
- Fiabilité des données
- 65/100 · date confirmée
- Première acquisition
- 2026-09-23T15:25:02.303218Z
{
"id": "yf:earnings:DUK:2026-11-05T12:30:00.000000Z",
"observation_id": "09fb9814cfecadd2715ed3e1804475e7091db508ace8633bcfe49ed7b141ac3a",
"corroborated_by": null,
"processed_at": "2026-09-23T15:25:02.303218Z",
"time_precision": "datetime",
"period_end": null
}Chronologie des événements pertinents
Administrateurs, dirigeants ou rémunérations · 8-K
SEC · déposé
Matérialité 55 · moyenneLire le document ↗Pourquoi cette matérialité
- Matérialité
- Administrateurs, dirigeants ou rémunérations
- Fiabilité des données
- 95/100 · sections déclarées dans le document SEC
- Première acquisition
- 2026-09-25T11:47:40.068508Z
{
"id": "sec:0001326160:0001104659-26-110588",
"observation_id": "15026fec134b64247cea2118647e49bdae7a7d0e373a66ef64d5a8ce0334f407",
"corroborated_by": null,
"processed_at": "2026-09-26T05:45:43.495809Z",
"time_precision": "datetime",
"period_end": null
}Résultats trimestriels publiés
Yahoo Finance · publié · BPA supérieur à l’estimation
Matérialité 64 · moyenneEPS 1,4300 · Estimation 1,3046 · Surprise 9,6 % · Trimestre clos le 2026-06-30
Pourquoi cette matérialité
- Matérialité
- Résultats publiés · ampleur de la surprise par rapport à l’estimation
- Fiabilité des données
- 90/100 · date indiquée par le fournisseur après l’événement · confirmé par un document SEC de résultats
- Première acquisition
- 2026-09-23T15:25:02.303218Z
{
"id": "yf:earnings:DUK:2026-08-04T12:30:00.000000Z",
"observation_id": "09fb9814cfecadd2715ed3e1804475e7091db508ace8633bcfe49ed7b141ac3a",
"corroborated_by": "sec:0001326160:0001326160-26-000037",
"processed_at": "2026-09-23T15:25:02.303218Z",
"time_precision": "datetime",
"period_end": "2026-06-30"
}Résultats opérationnels et situation financière · 8-K
SEC · déposé
Matérialité 45 · moyenneLire le document ↗Pourquoi cette matérialité
- Matérialité
- Résultats opérationnels et situation financière
- Fiabilité des données
- 95/100 · sections déclarées dans le document SEC
- Première acquisition
- 2026-09-23T15:25:02.822651Z
{
"id": "sec:0001326160:0001326160-26-000037",
"observation_id": "15026fec134b64247cea2118647e49bdae7a7d0e373a66ef64d5a8ce0334f407",
"corroborated_by": null,
"processed_at": "2026-09-26T05:45:43.495809Z",
"time_precision": "datetime",
"period_end": null
}Résultats opérationnels et situation financière · 8-K
SEC · déposé
Matérialité 45 · moyenneLire le document ↗Pourquoi cette matérialité
- Matérialité
- Résultats opérationnels et situation financière
- Fiabilité des données
- 95/100 · sections déclarées dans le document SEC
- Première acquisition
- 2026-09-23T15:25:02.822651Z
{
"id": "sec:0001326160:0001326160-26-000022",
"observation_id": "15026fec134b64247cea2118647e49bdae7a7d0e373a66ef64d5a8ce0334f407",
"corroborated_by": null,
"processed_at": "2026-09-26T05:45:43.495809Z",
"time_precision": "datetime",
"period_end": null
}Acquisition ou cession d’actifs · 8-K
SEC · déposé
Matérialité 65 · moyenneLire le document ↗Pourquoi cette matérialité
- Matérialité
- Acquisition ou cession d’actifs
- Fiabilité des données
- 95/100 · sections déclarées dans le document SEC
- Première acquisition
- 2026-09-23T15:25:02.822651Z
{
"id": "sec:0001326160:0001104659-26-038007",
"observation_id": "15026fec134b64247cea2118647e49bdae7a7d0e373a66ef64d5a8ce0334f407",
"corroborated_by": null,
"processed_at": "2026-09-26T05:45:43.495809Z",
"time_precision": "datetime",
"period_end": null
}Résultats trimestriels publiés
Yahoo Finance · publié · BPA supérieur à l’estimation
Matérialité 59 · moyenneEPS 1,9300 · Estimation 1,7998 · Surprise 7,2 % · Trimestre clos le 2026-03-31
Pourquoi cette matérialité
- Matérialité
- Résultats publiés · ampleur de la surprise par rapport à l’estimation
- Fiabilité des données
- 52/100 · date de publication indisponible
- Première acquisition
- 2026-09-23T15:25:02.303218Z
{
"id": "yf:earnings-result:DUK:2026-03-31",
"observation_id": "09fb9814cfecadd2715ed3e1804475e7091db508ace8633bcfe49ed7b141ac3a",
"corroborated_by": null,
"processed_at": "2026-09-23T15:25:02.303218Z",
"time_precision": "quarter_end_only",
"period_end": "2026-03-31"
}Accords significatifs · 8-K
SEC · déposé
Matérialité 50 · moyenneLire le document ↗Pourquoi cette matérialité
- Matérialité
- Accords significatifs
- Fiabilité des données
- 95/100 · sections déclarées dans le document SEC
- Première acquisition
- 2026-09-23T15:25:02.822651Z
{
"id": "sec:0001326160:0001104659-26-028490",
"observation_id": "15026fec134b64247cea2118647e49bdae7a7d0e373a66ef64d5a8ce0334f407",
"corroborated_by": null,
"processed_at": "2026-09-26T05:45:43.495809Z",
"time_precision": "datetime",
"period_end": null
}Nouvelles obligations financières · Ventes d’actions non enregistrées · 8-K
SEC · déposé
Matérialité 45 · moyenneLire le document ↗Pourquoi cette matérialité
- Matérialité
- Nouvelles obligations financières · Ventes d’actions non enregistrées
- Fiabilité des données
- 95/100 · sections déclarées dans le document SEC
- Première acquisition
- 2026-09-23T15:25:02.822651Z
{
"id": "sec:0001326160:0001104659-26-027080",
"observation_id": "15026fec134b64247cea2118647e49bdae7a7d0e373a66ef64d5a8ce0334f407",
"corroborated_by": null,
"processed_at": "2026-09-26T05:45:43.495809Z",
"time_precision": "datetime",
"period_end": null
}Accords significatifs · 8-K
SEC · déposé
Matérialité 50 · moyenneLire le document ↗Pourquoi cette matérialité
- Matérialité
- Accords significatifs
- Fiabilité des données
- 95/100 · sections déclarées dans le document SEC
- Première acquisition
- 2026-09-23T15:25:02.822651Z
{
"id": "sec:0001326160:0001104659-26-024729",
"observation_id": "15026fec134b64247cea2118647e49bdae7a7d0e373a66ef64d5a8ce0334f407",
"corroborated_by": null,
"processed_at": "2026-09-26T05:45:43.495809Z",
"time_precision": "datetime",
"period_end": null
}Accords significatifs · Acquisition ou cession d’actifs · 8-K
SEC · déposé
Matérialité 65 · moyenneLire le document ↗Pourquoi cette matérialité
- Matérialité
- Accords significatifs · Acquisition ou cession d’actifs
- Fiabilité des données
- 95/100 · sections déclarées dans le document SEC
- Première acquisition
- 2026-09-23T15:25:02.822651Z
{
"id": "sec:0001326160:0001104659-26-022610",
"observation_id": "15026fec134b64247cea2118647e49bdae7a7d0e373a66ef64d5a8ce0334f407",
"corroborated_by": null,
"processed_at": "2026-09-26T05:45:43.495809Z",
"time_precision": "datetime",
"period_end": null
}58 événements de faible matérialité (dividendes, divisions, documents non classés) ne sont pas listés ici ; ils restent disponibles via l’API et dans le catalogue de documents. Documents et événements de l’entreprise ↓
Méthode, limites et règles
Matérialité 0–100 selon des règles versionnées : sections 8-K déclarées (par exemple faillite 95, états non fiables 90, changements de dirigeants 55), type de formulaire, résultats prévus (60, +15 sous 14 jours), résultats publiés (45 plus jusqu’à 40 proportionnellement à la surprise sur le BPA, saturée à 20 %). Élevée dès 70, moyenne dès 40. Le sentiment n’existe que pour la surprise sur le BPA (±2 %). La confiance reflète la source et la précision de la date.
Règles heuristiques non calibrées sur les rendements ; le texte des documents n’est pas lu. Le calendrier Yahoo n’est pas une source primaire et l’historique des résultats n’a pas de dates de publication. Les événements macro (Fed, IPC, PCE, emploi), les prévisions, les fusions et les actualités ne sont pas encore connectés. Les événements ne modifient pas les scores.
Dernière vérification UTC: yfinance 2026-09-28T22:05:48.724700Z · sec-edgar 2026-09-28T23:43:08.035219Z · event-materiality-v1
{
"version": "event-materiality-v1",
"bands": {
"high": 70,
"medium": 40
},
"source_quality": {
"sec-edgar": 95,
"yfinance": 65
},
"sec_topics": {
"bankruptcy": 95,
"restatement": 90,
"debt_trigger": 75,
"auditor": 70,
"listing": 70,
"cybersecurity": 65,
"impairment": 65,
"asset_transaction": 65,
"restructuring": 60,
"management": 55,
"agreement": 50,
"equity": 45,
"debt": 45,
"results": 45,
"annual_report": 40,
"quarterly_report": 35
},
"sec_unclassified": 25,
"unclassified_confidence_multiplier": 0.6,
"earnings_scheduled": 60,
"earnings_imminent_bonus": 15,
"earnings_window_days": 14,
"earnings_reported": 45,
"surprise_materiality_bonus": 40,
"surprise_saturation": 0.2,
"surprise_sentiment_threshold": 0.02,
"minimum_estimate_abs": 0.01,
"vendor_surprise_tolerance": 0.005,
"dividend": 15,
"split": 25,
"confidence_multipliers": {
"confirmed": 1.0,
"estimated": 0.6,
"status_unknown": 0.8,
"quarter_end_only": 0.8,
"date_passed_unconfirmed": 0.5
},
"corroborated_confidence": 90,
"corroboration_days": 1,
"result_link_max_days": 120,
"maximum_calendar_age_hours": 48,
"recent_days": 30
}Actualités qui pourraient changer la thèse
Aucune actualité récente concernant directement la société.
10 titres du flux non affichés (commentaires ou comparaisons 3, peu importantes 2, ne concernent pas la société 5)
Titres uniquement, de Yahoo Finance (agrégateur, pas une source primaire) : le texte des articles n’est ni lu ni enregistré. Seules les actualités citant la société sont affichées, classées selon des règles déclarées ; la matérialité n’est pas un jugement positif ou négatif et les actualités n’entrent pas dans les scores. · news-events-v1
Documents et événements de l’entreprise
Documents officiels de la SEC. Les catégories décrivent les sujets déclarés, pas l’impact sur le cours : ouvrez la source pour vérifier ce qui a changé. Ces documents ne modifient pas automatiquement les scores.
Communication de l’entreprise
SEC · 8-K
Lire le document ↗Dates et provenance
- Numéro d’enregistrement SEC
- 0001104659-22-089094
- Date de référence déclarée
- 2022-08-08
- Acceptation communiquée par la SEC (UTC)
- 2022-08-11T13:49:56.000000Z
- Première acquisition
- 2026-09-23T15:25:02.822651Z
- Sections déclarées du formulaire
- 8.01, 9.01
La date principale est celle du dépôt, pas forcément celle de l’événement. L’heure d’acceptation est communiquée par le fournisseur. « Première acquisition » indique quand Krazerr a observé le document ; les révisions de métadonnées gardent leurs propres dates.
Rapport trimestriel
SEC · 10-Q
Lire le document ↗Dates et provenance
- Numéro d’enregistrement SEC
- 0001326160-22-000246
- Date de référence déclarée
- 2022-06-30
- Acceptation communiquée par la SEC (UTC)
- 2022-08-04T15:34:23.000000Z
- Première acquisition
- 2026-09-23T15:25:02.822651Z
- Sections déclarées du formulaire
- —
La date principale est celle du dépôt, pas forcément celle de l’événement. L’heure d’acceptation est communiquée par le fournisseur. « Première acquisition » indique quand Krazerr a observé le document ; les révisions de métadonnées gardent leurs propres dates.
Résultats opérationnels et situation financière
SEC · 8-K
Lire le document ↗Dates et provenance
- Numéro d’enregistrement SEC
- 0001326160-22-000244
- Date de référence déclarée
- 2022-08-04
- Acceptation communiquée par la SEC (UTC)
- 2022-08-03T21:54:32.000000Z
- Première acquisition
- 2026-09-23T15:25:02.822651Z
- Sections déclarées du formulaire
- 2.02, 9.01
La date principale est celle du dépôt, pas forcément celle de l’événement. L’heure d’acceptation est communiquée par le fournisseur. « Première acquisition » indique quand Krazerr a observé le document ; les révisions de métadonnées gardent leurs propres dates.
Administrateurs, dirigeants ou rémunérations
SEC · 8-K
Lire le document ↗Dates et provenance
- Numéro d’enregistrement SEC
- 0001104659-22-084711
- Date de référence déclarée
- 2022-07-28
- Acceptation communiquée par la SEC (UTC)
- 2022-08-01T20:22:06.000000Z
- Première acquisition
- 2026-09-23T15:25:02.822651Z
- Sections déclarées du formulaire
- 5.02
La date principale est celle du dépôt, pas forcément celle de l’événement. L’heure d’acceptation est communiquée par le fournisseur. « Première acquisition » indique quand Krazerr a observé le document ; les révisions de métadonnées gardent leurs propres dates.
Communication de l’entreprise
SEC · 8-K
Lire le document ↗Dates et provenance
- Numéro d’enregistrement SEC
- 0001104659-22-071324
- Date de référence déclarée
- 2022-06-08
- Acceptation communiquée par la SEC (UTC)
- 2022-06-15T16:22:03.000000Z
- Première acquisition
- 2026-09-23T15:25:02.822651Z
- Sections déclarées du formulaire
- 8.01, 9.01
La date principale est celle du dépôt, pas forcément celle de l’événement. L’heure d’acceptation est communiquée par le fournisseur. « Première acquisition » indique quand Krazerr a observé le document ; les révisions de métadonnées gardent leurs propres dates.
Communication de l’entreprise
SEC · 8-K
Lire le document ↗Dates et provenance
- Numéro d’enregistrement SEC
- 0001104659-22-061283
- Date de référence déclarée
- 2022-05-16
- Acceptation communiquée par la SEC (UTC)
- 2022-05-16T20:05:58.000000Z
- Première acquisition
- 2026-09-23T15:25:02.822651Z
- Sections déclarées du formulaire
- 7.01
La date principale est celle du dépôt, pas forcément celle de l’événement. L’heure d’acceptation est communiquée par le fournisseur. « Première acquisition » indique quand Krazerr a observé le document ; les révisions de métadonnées gardent leurs propres dates.
Communication de l’entreprise
SEC · 8-K
Lire le document ↗Dates et provenance
- Numéro d’enregistrement SEC
- 0001326160-22-000213
- Date de référence déclarée
- 2022-05-05
- Acceptation communiquée par la SEC (UTC)
- 2022-05-11T12:53:44.000000Z
- Première acquisition
- 2026-09-23T15:25:02.822651Z
- Sections déclarées du formulaire
- 5.07
La date principale est celle du dépôt, pas forcément celle de l’événement. L’heure d’acceptation est communiquée par le fournisseur. « Première acquisition » indique quand Krazerr a observé le document ; les révisions de métadonnées gardent leurs propres dates.
Rapport trimestriel
SEC · 10-Q
Lire le document ↗Dates et provenance
- Numéro d’enregistrement SEC
- 0001326160-22-000179
- Date de référence déclarée
- 2022-03-31
- Acceptation communiquée par la SEC (UTC)
- 2022-05-09T15:50:25.000000Z
- Première acquisition
- 2026-09-23T15:25:02.822651Z
- Sections déclarées du formulaire
- —
La date principale est celle du dépôt, pas forcément celle de l’événement. L’heure d’acceptation est communiquée par le fournisseur. « Première acquisition » indique quand Krazerr a observé le document ; les révisions de métadonnées gardent leurs propres dates.
Résultats opérationnels et situation financière
SEC · 8-K
Lire le document ↗Dates et provenance
- Numéro d’enregistrement SEC
- 0001326160-22-000177
- Date de référence déclarée
- 2022-05-09
- Acceptation communiquée par la SEC (UTC)
- 2022-05-09T10:43:31.000000Z
- Première acquisition
- 2026-09-23T15:25:02.822651Z
- Sections déclarées du formulaire
- 2.02, 9.01
La date principale est celle du dépôt, pas forcément celle de l’événement. L’heure d’acceptation est communiquée par le fournisseur. « Première acquisition » indique quand Krazerr a observé le document ; les révisions de métadonnées gardent leurs propres dates.
Communication de l’entreprise
SEC · 8-K
Lire le document ↗Dates et provenance
- Numéro d’enregistrement SEC
- 0001104659-22-036199
- Date de référence déclarée
- 2022-03-09
- Acceptation communiquée par la SEC (UTC)
- 2022-03-21T21:46:06.000000Z
- Première acquisition
- 2026-09-23T15:25:02.822651Z
- Sections déclarées du formulaire
- 8.01, 9.01
La date principale est celle du dépôt, pas forcément celle de l’événement. L’heure d’acceptation est communiquée par le fournisseur. « Première acquisition » indique quand Krazerr a observé le document ; les révisions de métadonnées gardent leurs propres dates.
Dernière vérification UTC: 2026-09-28T23:43:08.035219Z · Jusqu’à 100 documents du catalogue SEC récent ; pas une archive complète
Dans votre portefeuille
Source / Version du modèle
Calculé le: 2026-09-28T22:06:23.507734Z
Plus 36 observations des sociétés comparables, résumées ici ; la liste complète reste dans la feature snapshot de l’analyse.
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]Scores de modèle, pas des recommandations personnelles. Une donnée manquante n’est pas zéro.
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